RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, odds & betting tips 21/02/2026

Borussia Dortmund will be looking to keep the heat on Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich when they travel to the Red Bull Arena for a heavyweight Saturday night encounter with RB Leipzig.

Can Die Roten Bullen end their three-match winless run at home, or will Dortmund extend their 15-match unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga? Read our RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions here.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Heavyweight clash to deliver goals

Key Stats

• RB Leipzig have won their last five matches with Dortmund at the Red Bull Arena.
• RB Leipzig have managed just two wins from their last seven matches in all competitions.
• Borussia Dortmund are in the midst of a 15-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga.
• Borussia Dortmund have not lost a domestic game since a cup loss to Bayer Leverkusen in early December.

Correct score prediction: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig fans must have been dreaming of a title battle when their team won seven of their first nine games in the Bundesliga this season.

Instead, Die Roten Bullen have overseen a collapse in form over recent weeks, with Ole Werner’s men managing just two wins from their last six league outings.

Confidence is low, and it certainly was not helped by last weekend’s 2-2 draw against a struggling Wolfsburg side.

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, are eyeing up a fifth straight win across all competitions.

Niko Kovac and his men have enjoyed a perfect February, with the team winning all four of their matches while also scoring 11 goals and keeping two clean sheets.

Keeping pressure on Bayern Munich is the goal for the visitors, though prevailing away in Leipzig is expected to be a tough challenge considering Die Borussen are winless at the Red Bull Arena in five years.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers back Leipzig

HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at those RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund odds, it is clear that the bookmakers are siding with the home team.

If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage RB Leipzig

One of the reasons why the bookmakers are backing Leipzig is because of their sensational home record against Borussia Dortmund.

Werner’s men have won their last five home encounters with Dortmund, including three victories to nil.

Dortmund’s last success at the Red Bull Arena was in 2021, while their last win over Leipzig anywhere was back in November 2024.

Germany Bundesliga I 04/10/25

Borussia Dortmund

1

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

RB Leipzig

2

Borussia Dortmund

0

Germany Bundesliga I 02/11/24

Borussia Dortmund

2

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/24

RB Leipzig

4

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 09/12/23

Borussia Dortmund

2

RB Leipzig

3

RB Leipzig preview: Dip in home results

Winless from their last three home games, RB Leipzig will be hoping for a turnaround as they look to bolster their top-four ambitions.

The club have only managed to earn four league points from their last five games at the Red Bull Arena – a run which has seen them slip to fifth in the standings.

In terms of personnel, Ole Werner’s side head into the weekend without first-choice goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi, who has picked up a knee injury.

Kosta Nedeljkovic, Ouedraogo and Suleiman Sani will also be on the sidelines for Saturday’s huge encounter.

Predicted lineup: Vandevoordt (GK), Baku, Orban, Lukeba, Raum, Gruda, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Diomande, Romulo & Nusa

Last five matches

15/02/26: RB Leipzig 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)

11/02/26: Bayern Munich 2-0 RB Leipzig (DFB Pokal)

08/02/26: 1. FC Koln 1-2 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)

31/01/26: RB Leipzig 1-2 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)

27/01/26: FC St. Pauli 1-1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)

Borussia Dortmund preview: Key defenders on the sidelines

Fresh from their 2-0 midweek victory over Atalanta in the Champions League, Borussia Dortmund will be determined to keep building momentum.

The visitors will be missing Nico Schlotterbeck, who is back in training but not quite ready to jump back into action.

There are further concerns over the likes of Emre Can, Filippo Mane and Niklas Sule, with all three men remaining on the absentee list.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Reggiani, Anton, Bensebaini, Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Brandt, Beier & Guirassy

Last five matches

17/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta BC (Champions League)

13/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)

07/02/26: VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)

01/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)

24/01/26: Borussia Dortmund 0-2 Inter Milan (Champions League)

Player to watch: Yan Diomande

Forward Yan Diomande is the man to watch for the hosts after putting together a string of impressive performances in recent outings.

The 19-year-old has four goal contributions in six games, including a crucial goal in the 202 draw against Wolfsburg last time out.