RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips 17/01/2026
Harry Kane continues to score goals for Bayern. Image by IMAGO/Copyright: Team 2
🔥 Our Hot tip

Both teams to score (Yes)

Bayern have kept just two clean sheets in 12 games, but they are the Bundesliga's top scorers (66)

While Bayern Munich look certain to win the Bundesliga title, they could encounter a stumbling block on Saturday, when they take on hosts RB Leipzig at Red Bull Arena.

Die Roten Bullen are in third place with 32 points having won 2-0 against Freiburg on Wednesday, but Bayern come into the clash in first place with 47 points, 11 more than second-placed Borussia Dortmund.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich prediction: Unstoppable Bayern?

Key stats

  • Bayern have broken the Bundesliga record for most goals scored after 17 fixtures (66).
  • RB Leipzig have kept four clean sheets in their last six top-flight games.
  • Bayern have only kept two clean sheets in their 12 most recent outings.

Correct score prediction: RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayern Munich

RB Leipzig will be fearful of the visitors on Saturday, and they must look to exploit their opponents' defensive flaws if they are to avoid defeat.

However, Bayern's attack is relentless, and led by forwards Harry Kane, Luis Diaz and Michael Olise, the Bavarians will likely have too much quality for their hosts.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern Munich predicted to win by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 18/5 (4.6) – 21.7%
  • DRAW: 19/5 (4.8) – 20.8%
  • AWAY: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 64.5%, with the bookmakers only giving RB Leipzig a 21.7% chance of taking three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bayern ahead in recent clashes

The Bavarians played Leipzig in matchweek one of the current Bundesliga season, and they managed to claim three points after winning 6-0.

That success was Bayern's third in four games against Die Roten Bullen, a period in which they also avoided defeat.

Germany Bundesliga I 22/08/25

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

6
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/12/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

5
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 24/02/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/09/23

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

RB Leipzig preview: Goalscoring form to be derailed by absences?

Ole Werner's side may have scored 10 goals in their last five Bundesliga matches, but they were not particularly consistent in that period considering they failed to win three times, suffering defeat on two occasions.

Johan Bakayoko's calf injury means he will be on the sidelines against Bayern, so perhaps Andrija Maksimovic, Conrad Harder and Tidiam Gomis will be trusted to start in a front three.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Nedeljkovic, Orban, Lukeba, Raum, Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Maksimovic, Harder & Gomis

Last five results:

  • RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg
  • RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • RB Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg

Bayern Munich preview: Comfortable path to the title

The gap to second-placed Dortmund was extended when Bayern emerged as 3-1 winners against FC Koln on Wednesday, and it now feels like a matter of when the title is won rather than if.

Natural centre-back Hiroki Ito could be forced to fill in at left-back due to the injuries suffered by Alphonso Davies and Josip Stanisic.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Ito, Pavlovic, Goretzka, Olise, Gnabry, Diaz & Kane

Last five results:

  • FC Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 8-1 Wolfsburg
  • Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz 05
  • Bayern Munich 3-1 Sporting Lisbon

Player to watch: Luis Diaz

Bayern Munich winger Luis Diaz has at times been overshadowed by striker Harry Kane, but is enjoying arguably the best season of his entire career.

Will Luis Diaz lead Bayern to victory? Image by IMAGO/Copyright: Sven Simon

The former Liverpool winger has scored three goals and provided five assists in his last six matches for the Bavarians, and he provided three direct goal contributions in the reverse fixture against Leipzig.

bundesliga prediction

An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.