There's a derby clash in the Spanish capital this Friday. Our Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can continue their surprise push for European football.
Contents
Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Visitors to have more corners in draw
Key stats
- Our Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano betting tips take into account that the visitors have drawn 45% of their away matches this term in La Liga.
- Leganes haven’t lost any of their five matches in 2025 in all competitions.
- They average just 2.30 corners per home game, while Rayo have managed 4.91 on their travels in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Leganes 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
These two sides are in good form and this should be a pretty close and competitive game, as was the reverse fixture which ended 1-1 in Vallecas earlier this term.
Rayo are the stronger side, but they often fail to kill teams off, and with Leganes competing well against some of La Liga’s top teams in recent weeks, a draw looks likely.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the slight favourites
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano odds, with an implied probability of 40.0% that they win this match.
They head into this one, following a 2-1 comeback win over Girona, with Randy Nteka scoring two late goals.
As for Leganes, they got a good 0-0 draw against Athletic Club at San Mames last time out.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Rayo unbeaten in four
Our Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano prediction suggests the visitors can make it five without defeat in competitive games against their neighbours.
The last Leganes victory came via a 1-0 margin in the Segunda Division at Butarque, in December 2020.
Spain La Liga 28/09/24
Rayo Vallecano
Leganes
Europe Friendlies 27/07/22
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Europe Friendlies 07/08/21
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 06/06/21
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 03/06/21
Rayo Vallecano
Leganes
Leganes preview: Only one absentee for Jimenez
The home team are missing long-term injury absentee Enric Franquesa. Otherwise, they have a full squad to pick from.
Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Nastasic, Tapia, Sergio, Cruz, Brasanac, Neyou, Cisse, Rosier, Raba & De la Fuente
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W Espanyol 2 Leganes 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
D Sevilla 2 Leganes 2 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
D Girona 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Mallorca 0 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25
L Barcelona 1 Leganes 0
Rayo Vallecano preview: Montiel remains doubtful
There are also few problems for the visitors, although forgotten man Raul de Tomas remains unavailable. Jonathan Montiel is also an injury doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, Valentin, Ciss, Palazon, A. Garcia, Nteka & De Frutos
Spain La Liga 09/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25
W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Player to watch – Randy Nteka
With regular strikers De Tomas and Sergio Camello all too frequently failing to fire, Nteka has done a reasonable job of filling in up front for Inigo Perez’s side. He averages a goal every 221 minutes in the Spanish top flight this term.
Nteka scoring early and late
Both of Nteka’s goals last weekend came after the 80th minute as he transformed the game against Girona. His only other strike this term came very early, in the form of a 14th minute opener against Athletic Club.