There are two Madrid derbies this weekend in the Spanish top flight, the first of which will take place in Vallecas on Saturday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips look at whether the hosts can extend a solid start to the campaign.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes prediction: Hosts to win by two
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes betting tips take into account that six of the seven fixtures involving the visitors this term have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Rayo have only conceded 1.0 goals per game this season on average.
- It’s four wins from nine for Rayo in Vallecas, with leaders Barcelona the only visiting team to win so far this term.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Leganes
Leganes look really short in terms of goal threats with just one set piece goal from a defender to show for their efforts in five outings. Rayo will take confidence into this following solid draws against Atletico Madrid and Girona, and with home advantage, they should be too strong for newly promoted opposition.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo the clear favourites
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes odds with an implied probability of 51.3% that they win this match.
Rayo defended well on Wednesday in Catalonia, holding Girona to a 0-0 draw at Montilivi.
Meanwhile, Leganes come into this match on the back of a 1-1 draw in the South Madrid derby at Getafe, with Jorge Saenz grabbing their goal.
Today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks from the upcoming action around the world.
Most recent H2Hs: Rayo chasing third straight win
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes prediction suggests we could see the same outcome to those when the sides last met competitively. That was a Segunda Division play-off tie in 2021 which Rayo won 5-1 on aggregate.
Europe Friendlies 27/07/22
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Europe Friendlies 07/08/21
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 06/06/21
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Spain Segunda 03/06/21
Rayo Vallecano
Leganes
Spain Segunda 10/05/21
Rayo Vallecano
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano preview: Problems at left-back for Perez
The home team have a potential problem at left-back with Alfonso Espino ruled out through injury, while Pep Chavarria is also a doubt after hobbling off in midweek.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Mumin, Lejeune, Ratiu, Lopez, Valentin, Garcia, Isi, De Frutos & Camello
Spain La Liga 28/09/24 D Leganes 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 25/09/24 D Girona 0 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 22/09/24 D Atletico Madrid 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 16/09/24 W Osasuna 1 Rayo Vallecano 3 Spain La Liga 31/08/24 L Espanyol 2 Rayo Vallecano 1
Leganes preview: Neyou missing for the visitors
Yvan Neyou is the only confirmed absentee for Leganes. They may make light changes again here, with a clear best eleven yet to emerge.
Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Nastasic, Saenz, Sergio, Rosier, Tapia, Cisse, Oscar Rodriguez, Franquesa, Haller & Cruz
Spain La Liga 28/09/24 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 22/09/24 D Getafe 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 19/09/24 L Athletic Bilbao 2 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 13/09/24 L Real Betis 2 Leganes 0 Europe Friendlies 04/09/24 W Fuenlabrada 0 Leganes 3 
Player to watch – Andrei Ratiu
Right-back Andrei Ratiu has been an unexpected star so far this season for Rayo. He operated further up the pitch at Montilivi in midweek and has registered one goal and one assist in La Liga this term.
An unlikely goal threat
Ratiu has never scored more than twice in a league season in Spain, but he’s got real licence to get forwards this term. The Romanian averages 1.6 shots per game, a joint high in this Rayo squad.
