Qarabag FK vs Ajax prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/12/2025
Qurban Qurbanov watches on during CL clash vs Napoli - photo by IMAGO / Italy Photo Press
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Match result: Qarabag FK to win

Qarabag FK have lost just once in their last nine games, winning five of them.

Qarabag FK welcome Ajax to the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium for Wednesday's match six in the Champions League.

View our Qarabag FK vs Ajax predictions below.

Qarabag FK vs Ajax prediction: Home side advantage

Key stats

  • Qarabag FK are undefeated in their last three games and have lost only once in their last nine.
  • Ajax have won back-to-back games for the first time this season ahead of this fixture.
  • Four of the last six Ajax games have resulted in over 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: Qarabag FK 2-1 Ajax

Ajax are going through a disastrous run in the Champions League this season, and they are bottom of the table with no points.

Qarabag FK are 19th in the group phase table with seven points from five games, and they need a strong performance after losing 2-0 to Napoli in their previous Champions League game.

The home side are winless against any Dutch side in Europe, and this is a brilliant opportunity for them to pick up maximum points.

They have scored over two or more goals in six of their last eight games, and we are backing them to score more than Ajax on Wednesday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Qarabag FK strong favourites

HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Thus, you can see Qarabag FK are clear favourites to win the match, mainly due to their impressive recent form, and bookmakers have placed them at 19/20 (1.95) with 51.3% chances of winning.

While Ajax have won back-to-back games, they lost four times previously, and are placed at 5/2 (3.50) with 28.6% chances of winning.

However, BTTS – Yes at 3/5 (1.60), with a 62.5% chance of happening, can be tempting.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Qarabag FK vs Ajax predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Ajax edge out

In the last meeting between the two sides, Ajax won 3-0 away at Qarabag FK last season.

The two sides have not met frequently, so the current form will be a deciding factor in predicting the possible outcome.

UEFA Europa League 24/10/24

FK Qarabag

FK Qarabag

0
Ajax

Ajax

3

Qarabag FK preview: Can they finally win against a Dutch team?

The current position guarantees them automatic participation in the round of 16, and a strong performance against Ajax will put them in a more favourable situation.

The Azerbaijani giants remain in contention for a dream to the knockout stages, and they must do everything to pick up a win here.

Predicted lineups: Kochalski (GK), Silva, Mustafazade, Medina, Jafarguliyev, Bicalho, Jankovic, Andrade, Zoubir, Addai & Duran 

Last five results:

  • Zira 1-1 Qarabag FK
  • Qarabag FK 3-0 Karvan
  • Qarabag FK 2-0 Karvan
  • Napoli 2-0 Qarabag FK
  • Sumqayit 2-4 Qarabag FK

Ajax preview: Can they make it three wins in a row?

The Dutch giants have struggled badly this season, but they have shown signs of progress with two wins in a row.

They will be keen to end an eight-match losing streak in Europe, but need to raise their levels in Baku.

Predicted lineups: Jaros (GK), Gaaei, Itakura, Baas, Wijndal, Klaassen, Gloukh, Taylor, Bounida, Dolberg & Godts

Last five results:

  • Sittard 1-3 Ajax
  • Ajax 2-0 Groningen
  • Ajax 0-2 Benfica
  • Ajax 1-2 Excelsior
  • FC Utrecht 2-1 Ajax

Player to watch: Mika Godts

Mika Godts has been one of Ajax's most consistent performers this season, scoring six goals and providing five assists.

The 20-year-old has yet to score in the Champions League, and this is a good opportunity for him to open to scoring account.

Qarabag FK vs Ajax
Mika Godts in action for Ajax – IMAGO / Orange Pictures

Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.