Liga MX kicks off with Club Puebla and Atlas F.C. fighting it out for all three points at Estadio Cuauhtemoc on Saturday 12 July.
View our Liga MX predictions after analysing our Puebla vs Atlas preview below.
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Puebla vs Atlas prediction: Atlas to see this through
Key stats
- Puebla are winless in 10 games on the trot, including a friendly defeat.
- The Sweet Potatoes have just two wins in their previous 20 Liga MX outings.
- Atlas are winless in three of their last 10 league visits in the Mexican top-tier.
- The Foxes ended their 2024/25 season with one win in their final six games.
Correct score prediction: Puebla 1-2 Atlas
Puebla ended the 2024/25 Liga MX season on a dismal note, failing to find the back of the net in their final six games and ultimately finishing in 17th position. Pablo Guede has got work to do, and the arrivals of wingers Edgar Guerra and Owen Gonzalez should provide them with some offensive momentum, especially as they scored for the first time in seven games against Club America.
Although Puebla will expectedly be match-ready following their recent friendly 2-1 loss to the Mexican giants, the same cannot be said for Atlas. Gonzalo Pineda’s men played their last game in April, but went unbeaten in back-to-back games to culminate the 2024/25 campaign. We see the opening game of the new season sway in favour of the visitors despite their inactive schedule.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Camoteros with the edge
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.2%
- AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Puebla are winless in their last four outings at Estadio Cuauhtemoc, but the advantage of playing at home perhaps pushes bookmakers to lean slightly towards the Camoteros. They are priced are 29/20 (2.45), indicating a 40.8% chance of securing success in their opening game of the campaign.
Meanwhile, Atlas finished the previous season in 14th place, and have similar figures in their favour. With odds of 8/5 (2.60) to their name and a win probability of 38.4%, Atlas are tipped to fall short of a victory in Puebla City, where they claimed a 2-1 victory away last season.
All predictions for today’s games can be found in a comprehensive manner on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Atlas to claim bragging rights again?
The visitors have claimed bragging rights in three of the last five H2Hs, with Puebla winning just once across those clashes. The hosts’ last H2H win dates back to September 2023.
Mexico Liga MX 15/02/25
Atlas
Puebla
Mexico Liga MX 20/07/24
Puebla
Atlas
Mexico Liga MX 09/03/24
Puebla
Atlas
Mexico Liga MX 29/09/23
Atlas
Puebla
Mexico Clausura 18/03/23
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla preview: Seeking a winning start
With a full-strength squad available at his disposal except for defensive midfielder Alberto Herrera, Guede will be brimming to claim atleast a point at home.
Predicted lineup: Gonzalez (GK), Orona, Fedorco, Pachuca, Rivas, Arce, Moyano, Waler, Castillo, Garnica & Lozano
Mexico Liga MX 19/04/25
L
Necaxa
1
Puebla
0
Mexico Liga MX 16/04/25
L
Chivas Guadalajara
1
Puebla
0
Mexico Liga MX 12/04/25
L
Leon
1
Puebla
0
Mexico Liga MX 05/04/25
D
Tigres UANL
0
Puebla
0
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
L
Juarez FC
2
Puebla
0
Atlas preview: Important names out
The Guadalajara natives travel to Puebla City with injuries on their books, as Edgar Zaldivar, Mauro Manotas and Jordy Caicedo all miss out.
Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), Lozano, Nervo, Aguirre, Orrantia, Rocha, Bass, Garcia, Gonzalez, Coccaro & Djurdjevic
Mexico Liga MX 20/04/25
D
Chivas Guadalajara
1
Atlas
1
Mexico Liga MX 17/04/25
W
Queretaro
1
Atlas
2
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
L
Toluca
3
Atlas
2
Mexico Liga MX 05/04/25
D
Juarez FC
1
Atlas
1
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
L
Mazatlan FC
3
Atlas
2
Player to Watch: Uros Djurdjevic
The Montenegro forward played a pivotal role in helping Atlas avoid a horrendous end to the 2024/25 season, netting nine goals and racking up two assists in the final 10 games. Three of those outings saw his claim the man of the match award, including a hattrick against Club Tijuana and a brace against San Luis.