Off the back of a disappointing Champions League defeat to Newcastle United, Eredivisie leaders PSV Eindhoven will aim to immediately return to winning ways in Saturday's clash against NAC Breda.
While the home side go in search of a win to continue their quest for league glory, the visitors are eyeing a victory to boost their survival hopes as they head into this weekend's clash three points shy of safety.
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PSV vs NAC Breda prediction: PSV to run riot
Key stats
- PSV are without a clean sheet in their last five matches, four of which have seen both teams score.
- Each of the hosts' most recent eight affairs has yielded at least three goals.
- NAC Breda are on an eight-game winless run since beating Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 at the start of November.
- In that time, this weekend's away side have conceded the opener on five occasions.
- This is something PSV will be looking to capitalise on, having scored first in eight of their last 10 matches.
Correct score prediction: PSV 3-1 NAC Breda
PSV have picked up maximum points from their last 13 league outings, and NAC Breda have it all to do if they are to become just the third visiting Eredivisie team to avoid defeat at the Philips Stadion this term.
We fully expect the hosts to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Can Breda pull off shock win in Eindhoven?
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 17/2 (9.5) – 10.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With a home win currently priced at 1/4 (1.25), PSV are overwhelming favourites to carry the day, although Breda can take solace from the fact that their opponents have failed to win 16% of matches in which they have an 80% win probability.
Peter Bosz's men have not lost back-to-back matches since March and will be eager to keep it that way after a 3-0 defeat to Newcastle, which snapped their six-game winning run.
Breda, meanwhile, will still be biting their nails after an agonising 4-3 defeat to NEC last time out, where Kodai Sano netted a 94th-minute winner to settle matters.
One of two teams still without an away league victory this term, Carl Hoefkens's are unlikely to end their wait this weekend, having been given only a 10.5% chance of winning.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four wins in a row for PSV
PSV had to battle hard to secure a 1-0 victory over Breda in November's reverse meeting, extending their winning run in this fixture to four matches.
The reigning champions will now seek to complete a league double over this weekend's opponents for a second straight season.
Netherlands Eredivisie 22/11/25
NAC
PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 25/01/25
PSV
NAC
Netherlands Eredivisie 09/11/24
NAC
PSV
Netherlands Cup 08/02/22
PSV
NAC
PSV preview: Ricardo Pepi still sidelined amid exit rumours
As he prepares to miss a fourth straight game for PSV with a forearm injury, Pepi is currently the subject of transfer interest from Fulham and unsurprisingly so, with eight goals in 15 league appearances this term.
Alongside Pepi, Myroan Boadu, Sergino Dest, Nick Olij, Alassane Plea and Ruben van Bommel are also sidelined for the hosts, while Anass Salah-Eddine is a doubt.
Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK), Mauro Jr, Gasiorowski, Schouten, Sildillia, Veerman, Wanner, Man, Saibari, Perisic & Til
PSV's last five matches:
- Newcastle 3-0 PSV (Champions League)
- Sittard 1-2 PSV (Eredivisie)
- Den Bosch 1-4 PSV (KNVB Beker)
- PSV 5-1 Excelsior (Eredivisie)
- Utrecht 1-2 PSV (Eredivisie)
NAC Breda preview: Cherrion Valerius back from suspension
After picking up his fifth yellow card of the season against Groningen, Cherrion Valerious missed the defeat to NEC but is eligible to feature on Saturday.
This leaves Fredrik Oldrup Jensen as Breda's only guaranteed absentee.
Predicted lineup: Bielica (GK), Kemper, Greiml, Hillen, Valerius, Lucassen, Sowah, Balard, Holtby, Soumano & Brym
NAC Breda's last five matches:
- NAC Breda 3-4 NEC (Eredivisie)
- Groningen 0-0 NAC Breda (Eredivisie)
- NAC Breda 0-1 Telstar (Eredivisie)
- NAC Breda 1-1 Utrecht (Eredivisie)
- Sparta Roterdam 1-0 NAC Breda (Eredivisie)
Player to watch – Guus Til
After back-to-back blanks against Fortuna Sittard and Newcastle United, Til will head into Saturday's game seeking to avoid a third consecutive game without scoring for the first time since October.
The Dutchman has directly contributed to a goal in each of his last eight home outings and also grabbed the winner against Breda earlier this season, making him one to keep an eye on.