PSV vs Groningen prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/8/2025
Ivan Perisic in action for PSV || Credit - Imago
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Home team first half total goals (over 1.5)

PSV have scored two-plus first-half goals in three of their last four meetings with Groningen.

Groningen will face a daunting task on August 23 when they take a trip to face the in-form PSV Eindhoven in the Dutch Eredivisie.

The Red and Whites have been in tremendous form right from their preseason friendlies to the new 2025/2026 season. They secured their second win of the season with a 2-0 away win over  Twente on Sunday.

Their opponent, Groningen, on the other hand, started the season with a loss and got their first win of the new campaign following a narrow 2-1 home victory over SC Heerenveen on Saturday. With the win coming as a boost heading into the clash, they will hope to cause an upset when they visit Philips Stadion this weekend.

Read our PSV vs Groningen predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Eredivisie predictions.

PSV vs Groningen prediction: Easy win for PSV

Key statistics

  • PSV have scored over 1.5 goals in the first half in three of their last four clashes with Groningen.
  • The Lightbulbs have dominated this encounter with six wins in a row.
  • PSV have scored more than three goals in four of their last five meetings with Trots van het Noorden.

Correct score prediction: PSV 3-0 Groningen

Groningen head into this fixture with a difficult task ahead, as they come up against a PSV side they have consistently struggled to compete with. They have lost each of their last six meetings with the Red and Whites and not just by narrow margins, four of those defeats were by large scorelines, underlining the clear gap in quality between the two teams.

Most notably, their three most recent encounters ended in heavy thrashings, showing that Groningen have not only failed to win but have been overwhelmed on the pitch.

This poor head-to-head record highlights the challenge Groningen face and the dominance PSV have enjoyed in this fixture. With such a strong track record, a 3-0 scoreline in favour of PSV is not only realistic but also supported by past results. Groningen will need a significant improvement to avoid another tough loss, while PSV will be confident of extending their winning run.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookmarkers make PSV the favourite

  • Home: 2/15 (1.13) – 88.50%
  • Draw: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.76%
  • Away: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.69%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Peter Bosz’s side are priced at 1.13 odds (88.50%), showing that bookmakers see them as overwhelming favourites to win the match, based on their superior form, quality and recent dominance over Groningen.

A draw is valued at 8.50 (11.76%), indicating it is a long shot, with the possibility of it happening very low. In comparison, Dick Lukkien’s team are the underdog, with 13.00 odds and a 7.69% chance of winning, reflecting the low probability the bookmakers assign to them pulling off a surprise result against a much stronger PSV side.

Head-to-head: PSV dominate previous meetings

PSV come into their upcoming match against Groningen with a strong sense of momentum and confidence, largely due to their dominant recent history in this fixture, particularly at home. Over their last six Eredivisie meetings at the Philips Stadion, Bosz’s team have won every single one, scoring an impressive 22 goals and conceding only four.

This record includes back-to-back thrashings in the most recent two encounters: a 5-0 win in 2024 and a 6-0 demolition in 2023, both of which showcased the Lightbulbs’ attacking firepower and Lukkien’s men's struggle to cope. Given this overwhelming head-to-head advantage, especially in front of their home crowd, PSV are rightly seen as strong favourites.

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1
PSV

PSV

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 23/11/24

PSV

PSV

5
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/02/23

PSV

PSV

6
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 23/10/22

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

4
PSV

PSV

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 16/01/22

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

0
PSV

PSV

1

After reviewing our key PSV vs Groningen predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

PSV preview: Clean bill of health

Bosz’s side have kicked off the season in impressive fashion, carrying strong momentum from their pre-season friendlies into their Eredivisie campaign. They are currently enjoying a six-game unbeaten run, showing consistency in both performance and results across all competitions.

As they prepare to face Groningen this weekend, they do so with a full-strength squad. All players who have featured in the early stages of the season are fit and available for selection, giving Bosz the advantage of squad continuity and depth, key factors that could further strengthen their chances of extending their unbeaten streak.

Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK), Dest, Flamingo, Gasiorowski, Junior, Veerman, Schouten, Saibari, Perisic, Plea & Van Bommel

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25

W

Feyenoord

Feyenoord

2

PSV

PSV

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25

W

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

1

PSV

PSV

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 24/04/25

W

FC Twente

FC Twente

1

PSV

PSV

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 12/04/25

W

Almere City FC

Almere City FC

0

PSV

PSV

5

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25

W

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1

PSV

PSV

3

Groningen preview: Injury crisis hit

Dick Lukkien’s Groningen had a disappointing start to the season with a loss in Alkmaar on the opening weekend. The defeat was especially frustrating because they had come into the game in good form, having won four out of five pre-season matches, including back-to-back 3-1 wins over Beerschot and Wrexham.

They did bounce back with a narrow 2-1 win over Heerenveen last weekend, which will boost their confidence. However, ahead of their next match, they are dealing with some injury problems. 

Fofin Turay is doubtful due to an Achilles tendon issue, Noam Emeran is still out and is not expected back until early September and Oskar Zawada is also injured, aiming to return by late August. These injuries could leave Groningen short of attacking options for this tough fixture.

Predicted lineup: Noppert (GK), Zagaritis, Hopland, Kersten, Petrov, Van Overeem, Linday, Brouwers, Trenskow, Vente & Rivera

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25

L

AZ

AZ

3

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25

W

RKC

RKC

1

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

6

Netherlands Eredivisie 23/04/25

W

Heracles

Heracles

1

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

L

FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht

3

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25

L

PSV

PSV

3

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1

Player to watch: Ivan Perisic

PSV will be looking to Ivan Perisic to make a big impact in their match against Groningen. The experienced winger has been in great form recently, showing his quality in attack with both goals and assists.

Ivan Perisic celebrating with PSV || Credit - Imago
Ivan Perisic celebrating with PSV || Credit – Imago

In his last three games, Perisic has scored once and set up two goals, proving he can both finish chances and create for his teammates. His standout display came in the 6-1 win over Sparta Rotterdam, where he grabbed a goal and two assists. With this kind of form, Perisic will be an important part of PSV’s attack and could be the key to breaking down Groningen’s tough defence.


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