Eredivisie leaders PSV Eindhoven will set out to continue their seemingly unstoppable charge towards the title when they welcome Excelsior to the Philips Stadion on Saturday.
Both teams picked up maximum points from their respective last outings and will be looking to pick up where they left off.
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PSV vs Excelsior prediction: PSV to get the job done
Key stats
- PSV are currently on a three-match winning streak.
- Six of the last seven matches involving the hosts have yielded at least three goals.
- Excelsior have opened the scoring in four of their last five games, going into the interval ahead on each occasion.
- Seven of the visitors' last nine outings have ended with fewer than five bookings
Correct score prediction: PSV 3-0 Excelsior
PSV's 26 goals in eight home matches are the most of any Eredivisie team, although their 13 goals conceded also show a vulnerability at the back.
Nonetheless, we are fully backing the defending champions to make light work of their upcoming opponents and cruise to all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Walk in the park for champions-elect
- HOME: 1/6 (1.17) – 85.7%
- DRAW: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Having won their last four league home matches by a combined score of 14-6, PSV are unsurprisingly the overwhelming favourites to emerge victorious with a whopping 85.7% win probability.
Peter Bosz's men were run close by their FC Utrecht last time out, where they conceded first to Mike van der Hoorn before responding with second-half strikes from Ricardo Pepi and Ivan Perisic.
For Excelsior, becoming only the second visiting team to win a league game at the Philips Stadion is undoubtedly a big ask, as shown by their 7.7% chance of success.
Still, Ruben den Uil's men can draw confidence from their 2-1 victory over PEC Zwolle, a third triumph in four Eredivisie outings since November 22.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: One-way traffic in PSV's favour
A 2-1 win over Excelsior back in September saw PSV win a 13th straight edition of this fixture, and they are now unbeaten in 26 meetings across all competitions dating back to 2000.
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/09/25
Excelsior
PSV
Netherlands Cup 14/01/25
PSV
Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/04/24
Excelsior
PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/01/24
PSV
Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie 08/04/23
PSV
Excelsior
PSV preview: Jerdy Schouten's suspension opens the door for a Ryan Flamingo return
Despite starting each of PSV's opening nine matches of the campaign, Flamingo has found himself on the periphery of late, with only one start from the last 12 games.
However, after Schouten's red card against Utrecht, Flamingo is a contender to come into the XI at the heart of the defence alongside Yarek Gasiorowski.
Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK), Dest, Obispo, Gasiorowski, Mauro Jr, Til, Veerman, Wanner, Man, Pepi & Perisic
PSV's last five matches:
- Utrecht 1-2 PSV (Eredivisie)
- PSV 3-0 GVVV (KNVB Beker)
- PSV 4-3 Heracles (Eredivisie)
- PSV 2-3 Atletico Madrid (Champions League)
- Heerenveen 0-2 PSV (Eredivisie)
Excelsior preview: Stijn Middendorp eligible to feature once again
After missing his side's most recent outing against Zwolle through a ban, Middendorp is available for selection once again, although it remains to be seen if he will earn an immediate recall to the lineup.
Meanwhile, Chris Nadje and Mathijs Tielemans are still battling respective injury problems and will not play any part for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Van Gassel (GK), Martens, Meissen, Widell, Bronkhorst, Yegoian, Hartjes, Naujoks, De Regt, Wlodarczyk & Fernandes
Excelsior's last five matches:
- Excelsior 2-1 Zwolle (Eredivisie)
- Excelsior 0-2 Groningen (Eredivisie)
- Excelsior 1-0 NAC Breda (Eredivisie)
- Ajax 1-2 Excelsior (Eredivisie)
- Excelsior 1-2 Heracles (Eredivisie)
Player to watch – Guus Til
Failing to score in only a second game in nine outings in PSV's 2-1 triumph over Utrecht, Til will be keen to make an immediate return to the score sheet.
The midfielder has enjoyed a sensational 2025-26 campaign, scoring 11 league goals so far, just four shy of his personal best.
With Ismael Saibari still on AFCON duty, Til has the vast majority of the attacking burden on his shoulders.