All eyes will be on Phillips Stadion as PSV Eindhoven host Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 9 December 2025.
View our free PSV vs Atletico Madrid predictions below.
Contents
PSV vs Atletico Madrid predictions: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- PSV Eindhoven have won five consecutive matches across all competitions.
- Atletico Madrid have lost both of their away games in the UEFA Champions League.
- Four of the last five meetings between these sides featured at least 11 corners.
Correct score prediction: PSV Eindhoven 3-2 Atletico Madrid
PSV Eindhoven are currently on a five-match winning streak and a 14-game unbeaten run across all competitions. They were impressive in their last UEFA Champions League outing, defeating Liverpool 4-1 away from home.
While Atletico Madrid have a perfect home record in this competition, they have two losses in as many away games. In fact, Diego Simeone's men have won only two of 10 away matches across all competitions this season (D3, L5).
Despite being the underdogs, we are leaning toward PSV for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: PSV up against it
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
After stringing together a seven-match winning streak, Atletico Madrid have now lost back-to-back games. This will be the La Liga giants’ third consecutive away game across all competitions.
On the other hand, PSV Eindhoven have been unstoppable of late, winning 10 of their last 11 matches. They are 15th in the league phase of the UEFA Champions League ahead of their clash with 12th-placed Atletico Madrid.
Despite their abysmal away record this season, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 23/20 (2.15). Teams with these odds usually have a 46.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our PSV vs Atletico Madrid predictions.
Also, bearing in mind that four of the last five clashes between these sides went above the 10.5-corner threshold, over 10.5 total corners has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First clash in nine years
Atletico Madrid and PSV will go toe-to-toe with each other for the first time since November 2016. There have been six previous skirmishes between these sides and they were all in the UEFA Champions League.
Interestingly, Atletico Madrid have never lost to PSV.
PSV preview: Eyeing their sixth consecutive victory
Very much in contention for a place in the top half of the UEFA Champions League, PSV will entertain Atletico Madrid in round six of the league phase without star midfielders Alassane Plea and Ruben van Bommel, who are both sidelined until next year due to bad knee injuries.
The Dutch outfit will also remain without Ivan Perisic, who picked up a hamstring injury on 26 November against Liverpool in this competition. Due to his experience in high-stake matches, the absence of the 36-year-old leaves a big void in the team's attacking fluidity especially against a side like Atletico Madrid.
Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK), Salah-Eddine, Gasiorowski, Schouten, Dest, Driouech, Veerman, Junior, Man, Til & Saibari.
Last five matches
- Heerenven 0-2 PSV
- PSV 3-0 Volendam
- Liverpool 1-4 PSV
- NAC Breda 0-1 PSV
- AZ Alkmaar 0-5 PSV
Atletico Madrid preview: Looking to avoid a third straight defeat
Atletico Madrid will make this trip with about three players expected to be out because of injury. Alejandro Baena and Jose Maria Gimenez have hamstring setbacks, while Marcos Llorente continues to nurse a muscle problem.
Although Los Colchoneros have had a terrible start to December with back-to-back losses, their four straight wins in non knockout stage meetings with PSV can serve as motivation to return to winning ways on Tuesday night.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Hancko, Lenglet, Pubill, Molina, Barrios, Gallagher, Gonzalez, Simeone, Sorloth & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- Barcelona 3-1 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 2-0 Real Oviedo
- Atletico Madrid 2-1 Inter Milan
- Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Player to watch: Guus Til
Guus Til failed to score against Heerenveen last weekend, halting his four-game scoring streak. The former Feyenoord midfielder has been nothing short of impressive, scoring six goals in his last five appearances. He will fancy his chances against Atletico Madrid.