PSG will take on Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup on Wednesday, 9 July, with a place in the competition's inaugural final at stake.
Both teams are deserving of their place in the final four, with PSG winning all five of their matches and Real Madrid winning four and drawing one.
As the other semi-final is between Chelsea and Fluminense, both teams will perhaps privately feel that if they can win this, then they should go on to become world champions.
As part of our ongoing selection of Club World Cup betting tips, check out our PSG vs Real Madrid prediction below.
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PSG vs Real Madrid prediction: The European champions to triumph
Key stats
- PSG have won two of their last four matches against Spanish teams by two goals or more.
- Real Madrid conceded twice in the match against Borussia Dortmund in the previous round.
- Ousmane Dembele has scored 34 goals in all competitions for PSG over the last 12 months.
Correct score prediction: PSG 3-1 Real Madrid
There isn't a side better in Europe than PSG at the moment, as they proved during the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League. While Real Madrid have impressed under Xabi Alonso during the Club World Cup, the momentum, cohesion and quality in the PSG squad should see them over the line.
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Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG start as favourites
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The PSG vs Real Madrid odds are weighted in favour of the French side, but the bookies aren't exactly convinced as they have left all three results on the table. Ladbrokes have given PSG a 43.5% chance of winning the match inside 90 minutes, while Real Madrid have been given a 34.8% chance of victory.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page for more tips over the next 24 hours.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage PSG
Although it is only over the past 12 months that PSG have become the most dominant team in Europe, they do boast a decent recent record against Real Madrid. Les Parisiens have either won or drawn three of their last four matches against Los Blancos, but it is Real Madrid who won the most recent encounter 3-1 in March 2022.
UEFA Champions League 09/03/22
Real Madrid
PSG
UEFA Champions League 15/02/22
PSG
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 26/11/19
Real Madrid
PSG
UEFA Champions League 18/09/19
PSG
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League 06/03/18
PSG
Real Madrid
PSG preview: Missing two defenders
PSG will be without two defenders for the clash with Real Madrid, as Wilian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez were both sent off in the second half of their quarter-final against Bayern Munich. As Hernandez had only come on as a substitute, only one change to the starting XI is required.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Hakimi, Beraldo, Marquinhos, Mendes, Nevers, Ruiz, Vitinha, Doue, Kvaratskhelia, Dembele
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
W
Montpellier
1
PSG
4
UEFA Champions League 07/05/25
W
Arsenal
1
PSG
2
France Ligue 1 03/05/25
L
Strasbourg
2
PSG
1
UEFA Champions League 29/04/25
W
Arsenal
0
PSG
1
France Ligue 1 25/04/25
L
Nice
3
PSG
1
Real Madrid preview: New signing to miss out
Real Madrid will be without new signing, Dean Huijsen, after the former Bournemouth defender was sent off in their quarter-final victory over Borussia Dortmund. Kylian Mbappe should return to the starting XI after starting on the bench in the quarter-finals.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Asencio, F.Garcia, Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Mbappe, G.Garcia, Vinicius Jr
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L
Barcelona
4
Real Madrid
3
Spain La Liga 04/05/25
W
Celta Vigo
2
Real Madrid
3
Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
L
Barcelona
3
Real Madrid
2
Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W
Getafe
0
Real Madrid
1
Spain La Liga 20/04/25
W
Athletic Bilbao
0
Real Madrid
1
Player to watch: Gonzalo Garcia
Gonzalo Garcia has had a breakthrough tournament for Real Madrid during the Club World Cup, scoring four goals and registering one assist across his five starts at the tournament. The forward was well down the pecking order while Carlo Ancelotti was the manager but Xabi Alonso has seen something in him that he likes.