🔥 Our Hot tip

PSG to score over 1.5 goals

PSG accumulated an xG of 1.82 against Liverpool in the first leg.

Liverpool will take on PSG in the second leg of their Champions League Round of 16 tie on Tuesday, 11 March in one of the most hotly anticipated fixtures of the week.

The Reds take a 1-0 lead into the second leg after their smash-and-grab victory in Paris last week, but will be acutely aware of the danger PSG pose after conceding 27 shots to the French side in the first leg.

As part of this week's round of Champions League betting tips, check out our Liverpool vs PSG prediction below.

PSG vs Liverpool prediction: The hosts to stun the Reds

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Key stats

  • PSG have scored two goals or more in five of their last six matches.
  • Liverpool have lost just one of their last ten matches in all competitions.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of Liverpool's last ten matches at Anfield.

Correct score prediction: Liverpool 2-2 PSG

The reality is, PSG should be coming into this match with the lead on aggregate and their performance last week suggests they are more than capable of coming here and potentially beating Liverpool. On the flip side, Liverpool cannot play as badly as they did in Paris and they very rarely lose at Anfield.

Pre-game odds and win probability: The Reds go in as favourites

  • HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Liverpool vs PSG odds are indicative of how difficult this match is to call with the bookies leaving all three results very much on the table. Ladbrokes have made Liverpool the narrow favourites and have given them a 45.5% chance of winning on the night while PSG have been given a 34.8% chance of victory.

For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: A second clash in seven years

This Round of 16 tie represents the first time that PSG and Liverpool have gone head-to-head since the group stages of the 2018/19 Champions League. Back then, Liverpool won 3-2 at home but PSG got their revenge back in Paris with a 2-1 victory. Liverpool's 1-0 win last week means that a repeat of that 3-2 win seven years ago would see them qualify for the quarter-finals.

UEFA Champions League 05/03/25

PSG

PSG

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

UEFA Champions League 28/11/18

PSG

PSG

2
Liverpool

Liverpool

1

UEFA Champions League 18/09/18

Liverpool

Liverpool

3
PSG

PSG

2

Liverpool preview: All eyes on Europe

In recent weeks, Liverpool have effectively wrapped up the Premier League title which means they can now put all of their eggs into the Champions League basket. The Reds have tremendous pedigree in Europe, both historically and with this group of players, so they will fancy their chances of another deep run.

Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Szboboszlai, Salah, Jota, Diaz

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 27/04/25

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

5

England Premier League 20/04/25

W

Leicester

Leicester

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

PSG preview: Can they break the mould?

In years gone by, this would be the type of match PSG would flatter to deceive in and rollover but things could be different this time around. This PSG side isn't centred on a single superstar unlike the teams of the recent past and that team spirit and togetherness could see them give Liverpool a proper game, just like they did last week.

Predicted Lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes, Vitinha, Ruiz, Neves, Kvaratskhelia, Dembele, Barcola

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

W

Montpellier

Montpellier

1

PSG

PSG

4

UEFA Champions League 07/05/25

W

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

PSG

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 03/05/25

L

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

2

PSG

PSG

1

UEFA Champions League 29/04/25

W

Arsenal

Arsenal

0

PSG

PSG

1

France Ligue 1 25/04/25

L

Nice

Nice

3

PSG

PSG

1

Player to watch: Ousmane Dembele

Ousmane Dembele was the best player on the pitch last week in the Parc des Princes and he has been in that kind of form all season. The talented Frenchman has seemingly found a home in Paris and has notched up 27 goals in all competitions so far this season. A leading performance at Anfield would elevate his status in world football considerably.

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Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.