PSG vs Brest prediction
Desire Doue and Pierre Lees Melou go head-to-head - Photo by Imago
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PSG & Over 3.5 total goals

PSG have won six of their last seven encounters with Brest and over 3.5 goals have been scored in five of those meetings.

PSG are practically in the last 16 of the Champions League following their excellent 3-0 victory at the Stade du Roudourou last week but we still expect the hosts to put in maximum effort at home against Brest on Wednesday night.

PSG vs Brest prediction: A big PSG victory on the cards?

Key Stats

  • Over 3.5 goals have been scored in two of PSG's last three outings in the Champions League.
  • PSG are in the midst of a six-game winning run in all competitions.
  • Ousmane Dembele top scores for PSG this season with 23 goals across all competitions, including six in the Champions League.

Correct score prediction: PSG 4-1 Brest

PSG have already beaten Brest 5-2 in Ligue 1 this season and the French giants head into Wednesday's second leg of this Champions League play-off on the back of scoring at least four goals in three of their last six fixtures, while Brest have scored at least one goal in four of their last five away games in league and cup.

Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG the overwhelming favourite

  • HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
  • DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

PSG are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 83.3% and can only see Wednesday's second leg ending in victory for the hosts.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: PSG unbeaten

Wednesday's hosts haven't lost any of their last 21 matches against Brest in all competitions, claiming a 3-0 win in last week's first leg in Guingamp.

UEFA Champions League 11/02/25

Brest

Brest

0
PSG

PSG

3

France Ligue 1 01/02/25

Brest

Brest

2
PSG

PSG

5

France Ligue 1 14/09/24

PSG

PSG

3
Brest

Brest

1

France Cup 07/02/24

PSG

PSG

3
Brest

Brest

1

France Ligue 1 28/01/24

PSG

PSG

2
Brest

Brest

2

PSG preview: In fantastic form

PSG went into last week's first leg against Brest having already beaten their hosts 5-2 in Ligue at the Stade du Roudourou.

A 21st-minute penalty from Vitinha handed PSG the lead in this Champions League tie and top scorer Ousmane Dembele added a second goal just before the halftime whistle. A third goal in the 66th minute from that man Dembele, ended any faint hopes of a late Brest comeback and secured PSG an excellent 3-0 lead heading into the second leg.

Midfielders Renato Sanches and Warren Zaire-Emery could both miss the second leg on Wednesday night through injury.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Marquinhos, Hakimi, Pacho, Mendes, Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves, Dembele, Barcola & Doue

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

W

Montpellier

Montpellier

1

PSG

PSG

4

UEFA Champions League 07/05/25

W

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

PSG

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 03/05/25

L

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

2

PSG

PSG

1

UEFA Champions League 29/04/25

W

Arsenal

Arsenal

0

PSG

PSG

1

France Ligue 1 25/04/25

L

Nice

Nice

3

PSG

PSG

1

Brest preview: A mountain to climb

Brest would have been expecting a tough 90 minutes at home to PSG last week but would have been hoping to come away with at least a draw to build upon.

However, PSG took their chances and Brest simply didn't as the French giants ran out comfortable 3-0 winners in the end, leaving Eric Roy's side without an almost impossible mountain to climb at the Parc des Princes this week.

Jonas Martin, Jordan Amavi and Romain Del Castillo are all doubts for the second leg, while midfielder Karamoko Dembele has been ruled out of the second leg due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Bizot (GK), Lala, Haidara, Chardonnet, Coulibaly, Lees-Melou, Faivre, Camara, Magnetti, Ajorque & Sima 

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

W

Lille

Lille

0

Brest

Brest

2

France Ligue 1 04/05/25

W

Montpellier

Montpellier

0

Brest

Brest

1

France Ligue 1 27/04/25

L

Marseille

Marseille

4

Brest

Brest

1

France Ligue 1 20/04/25

L

Lens

Lens

3

Brest

Brest

1

France Ligue 1 13/04/25

D

St Etienne

St Etienne

3

Brest

Brest

3

Player to watch: Ousmane Dembele

Ousmane Dembele is easily enjoying the best goalscoring season of his illustrious career and we've selected the PSG star as our player to watch on Wednesday night.

Ousmane Dembele player to watch
Photo by IMAGO

Dembele, who has often played a more traditional winger role during his career, has scored 16 goals in Ligue 1 in just 20 appearances and has also scored seven goals in cup competitions, including six in the Champions League.

The French international is enjoying his best season in front of goal

We're backing Dembele to put in another impressive performance on Wednesday night just as he did in the first leg against Brest in which he scored two goals.

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James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.