Turkey vs Portugal prediction, odds & betting tips – 22/06/2024

Both Turkey and Portugal got their Euro 2024 campaigns off to a winning start so a draw this weekend wouldn't be a bad result for either side.

However, we're expecting a much better performance from Portugal who left it late against the Czech Republic on matchday one, while Turkey won't be afforded the same freedom that saw them score three times against European Championship debutants Georgia.

Roberto Martinez's side head into this game as the favourite and on paper, it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this one.

Turkey vs Portugal prediction: Ronaldo to score in Dortmund?

• Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last two meetings between these two countries.
• Five of Portugal's last six outings have witnessed at least three goals.
• Portugal beat Turkey 3-1 in the World Cup Qualifiers in 2022.
• Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 130 goals in 208 caps for Portugal, scoring 10 times in the Euro 2024 qualifiers.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Turkey

• HOME: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
• DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
• AWAY: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Portugal are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 63.6%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Portugal lead

With four wins and one defeat from their last five games against Turkey, Portugal have enjoyed playing against Saturday's opponents over the last 30 years.

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/22

Portugal

3

Turkey

1

Turkey preview: Looked good going forward

Turkey secured all three points against Georgia on matchday one but the 3-1 margin didn't do the minnows the justice they deserved.

Vincenzo Montella's side looked good going forward but they could have easily drawn their opener had it not been for some poor Georgian finishing.

Turkey are bound to face a much bigger test against Portugal this weekend but now that they have three points on the board, a defeat won't be a devastating result.

Predicted lineup: Günok (GK), Ayhan, Bardakcı, Akaydin, Müldür, Çalhanoğlu, Kadıoğlu, Kökçü, Güler, Yılmaz & Yıldız

UEFA Nations League B 09/09/24

W

Iceland

1

Turkey

3

UEFA Nations League B 06/09/24

D

Wales

0

Turkey

0

Euro 2024 06/07/24

L

Netherlands

2

Turkey

1

Euro 2024 02/07/24

W

Austria

1

Turkey

2

Euro 2024 26/06/24

W

Czech Republic

1

Turkey

2

Portugal preview: Got there in the end

Portugal had control of their game against the Czech Republic for the most part but struggled to break down their opponent's well-organised defence, much to the frustration of Cristiano Ronaldo.

In the end, Portugal scraped a victory despite going a goal behind but needed some help from the Czech goalkeeper and defence who gifted Martinez's men two goals.

We're expecting Portugal to enjoy the Turkey game as Montella's side aren't the best defensively which means we could see Ronaldo break the record for the oldest goalscorer at a European Championship this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Pepe, Cancelo, Dias, Dalot, Mendes, Fernandes, Silva, Vitinha, Ronaldo & Leão

UEFA Nations League A 08/09/24

W

Scotland

1

Portugal

2

UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24

W

Croatia

1

Portugal

2

Euro 2024 05/07/24

L

France

0 (5)

Portugal

0 (3)

Euro 2024 01/07/24

W

Slovenia

0 (0)

Portugal

0 (3)

Euro 2024 26/06/24

L

Georgia

2

Portugal

0

Player to watch – Bernardo Silva

We're expecting Manchester City's Bernardo Silva to help guide Portugal to back-to-back wins in Group F this weekend against Turkey.

Portugal's playmaker is bound to create and exploit gaps in the Turkish defence and this is where we expect the game to be won. Silva made his 90th appearance for Portugal in midweek and the 29-year-old has 11 international goals to his name.

The key to unlocking the Turkish defence

Portugal struggled to break down the Czech Republic defence despite Silva always looking a threat in and around the penalty area, but we believe that the Man City man will have more joy against a Turkish side that like to attack and often leave themselves exposed at the back.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Turkey

? Ne goldü ama!

? Mert Müldür'ün harika volesi @EURO2024‘te haftanın golü seçildi. https://t.co/dJUOsgk6uv

— Türkiye #BizimÇocuklar ?? (@MilliTakimlar) June 22, 2024

Portugal

Dia de jogo importante no #EURO2024! ? #PartilhaAPaixão pic.twitter.com/6HB0Dy3EVu

— Portugal (@selecaoportugal) June 22, 2024