Roma vs Porto prediction
Can Roma make home advantage count against Porto? (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Roma to win

Roma have won seven and drawn one of their last eight home matches in all competitions and they can harness home advantage again here.

Roma lock horns with Porto at the Stadio Olimpico in Europa League playoffs on Thursday, 20 February. Read our Europa League predictions for the game below.

Roma vs Porto prediction: Giallorossi to prevail?

Key Stats

  • Roma have won seven and drawn one of their last eight home games in all competitions.
  • Porto scored exactly one goal in five of their last six competitive assignments.
  • A huge 11 cards were brandished in last week’s first leg between Roma and Porto.
  • Porto failed to win three of their last four away matches in the Europa League.

Correct score prediction: Roma 2-1 Porto

Porto have notched just one goal in five of their last six fixtures in all competitions, though a single strike could leave them short against a Roma side that has won seven of its last eight matches on home soil.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma are odds on favourites

  • HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Roma are in excellent form domestically, though they struggled for wins in the Europa League group stage and offer little value at 1/2 to triumph here.

Porto beat Antwerp 2-0 in Belgium at the weekend to lift their confidence and they are a massive price at 6/1 to win in Turkey on Thursday. Check out our free football tips page for more Europa League predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: BTTS has been common

Five of the last six meetings between Roma and Porto have produced goals at both ends. Roma and Porto drew 1-1 in last week’s first leg.

UEFA Europa League 13/02/25

FC Porto

FC Porto

1
Roma

Roma

1

Elite Club Friendlies 28/07/21

FC Porto

FC Porto

1
Roma

Roma

1

UEFA Champions League 06/03/19

FC Porto

FC Porto

3
Roma

Roma

1

UEFA Champions League 12/02/19

Roma

Roma

2
FC Porto

FC Porto

1

UEFA Champions League Qualifying 23/08/16

Roma

Roma

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Roma preview: Cristante is suspended

Mario Hermoso, Paulo Dybala, Devyne Rensch, Ola Solbakken and Edoardo Bove are out of action for Roma. Bryan Cristante is suspended having been sent off in last week's heated first leg in Portugal.

Predicted lineup: Svilar (GK), Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Pellegrini, Angelino, Soule, Dovbyk

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Lazio

Lazio

1

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

D

Juventus

Juventus

1

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 29/03/25

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

Roma

Roma

1

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Roma

Roma

1

UEFA Europa League 13/03/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

Roma

Roma

1

Porto preview: Fernandes and Grujic are out

Martim Fernandes and Marko Grujic are expected to miss out on Thursday. Porto have won only two of their last ten assignments in all competitions. The visitors could use a 3-4-3 formation in Thursday's second leg.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Djalo, Perez, Otavio, Mario, Eustasquio, Varela, Moura, Borges, Mora, Samu

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

W

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25

L

Benfica

Benfica

4

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/03/25

W

AVS

AVS

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/03/25

L

Braga

Braga

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Player to watch – Goncalo Borges

Attacking midfielder Goncalo Borges carried a significant threat in last week’s first leg and mustered a game-high four shots in Porto’s 1-1 draw with Roma.

Roma vs Porto prediction
Goncalo Borges was a real threat for Porto in last week's first leg. (Photo by Imago)

Borges could shine again

Borges found space to exploit against Roma last week and his clever movement could make him just as big a nuisance against the Giallorossi in Thursday’s second leg.

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Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.