Porto vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips (07/04/21)

On paper, facing Porto in the quarter-final was the easiest draw Chelsea could have asked for. Will they come away from the first leg with a lead to reflect that? Find out with our Porto vs Chelsea match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Porto vs Chelsea: Three Top Tips

Unbiased tips

The odds provided are up to date at the time of publication. Odds are subject to change though and you should always check with your bookmaker before placing any bets. Our recommended bookmaker for this match is Ladbrokes.

Chelsea to win

Porto have done exceptionally well to reach this stage of the Champions League but, actually, they're hardly flying this season with the Liga NOS title now looking a tough ask. Their first leg win over Juve shows they're still capable of causing problems but the last thing they'd have wanted to see at the weekend was Chelsea's shock loss to West Brom. The Blues were woeful as the Baggies took them apart 5-2. They'll now be all to aware of what can happen if they're not at the races. It won't happen twice within a few days. Of course, it's worth noting they were unbeaten in 15 prior to that loss; one defeat hardly means bad form. Finally, it's almost guaranteed that Mason Mount comes back into the XI, which is a big boost.

Porto to draw + 1 goal

The first of our predictions might back Chelsea to beat Porto but it won't be easily achieved. The Portuguese side have only lost one match all season by a margin greater than one goal; that was away at Manchester City. The other side of this tip focuses on Chelsea. Although the match is being played at a neutral venue, it's technically Chelsea's away leg. All of their away wins under Thomas Tuchel have been by one goal; for clarity, that's five games.

Chelsea to win 1-0

Our tips have already indicated our belief that Chelsea will emerge victorious from a tight affair; this prediction follows a similar thought process as we predict a 1-0 scoreline. Why? Well, Tuchel has overseen five away wins for Chelsea with four of them ending 1-0. Of the four, three of them – versus Tottenham, Atletico and Liverpool – have been dubbed ‘big games'. This is another big game on the road and after the embarrassment against West Brom they'll be extra keen to keep things tight. Porto are almost never blown away in games whilst goalless draws with Sporting domestically and Man City in the Champions League show they can be kept quiet by the better teams.

All the stats and odds for Porto vs Chelsea

Chelsea to take narrow first leg lead

The round of 16 served up just one shock result; it was Porto beating Cristiano Ronaldo and Juventus. After overcoming the Old Lady they would have been hoping to bring Chelsea down a peg or two. Unfortunately, West Brom have already done that meaning it's highly likely the English side will arrive at this match 110% switched on to avoid an upset. Either way, the Jose Mourinho derby – as it's been dubbed – will be a game worth watching.

FAQ about Porto vs Chelsea

porto vs chelsea prediction

  • Who's the favourite to progress from the tie? – Chelsea are the favourites to reach the semi-final
  • What time is kick off? – 8 pm GMT
  • Where is the match being played? – The continued disruption to global travel means this game will actually be played at Sevilla's home ground, Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.

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Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!