Barcelona v Porto prediction, odds & betting tips 28/11/2023

28/11/23 - 20:00

Barcelona - FC Porto

UEFA Champions League - Olímpic Lluís Companys

5th Round

Barcelona face Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 28th November. It’s a game that may decide who wins Group H with both sides hoping to secure qualification on the night.

Barcelona vs Porto prediction & free betting tips

Barcelona won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Portugal in October and are targeting a place in the Last 16 for the first time in three seasons.

For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today.

 Draw/Barcelona Half-time/Full-time

• Barcelona are tending to score late with 70% of their league goals this season coming in the Second Half.
• They’ve not scored a First Half goal in any of their last four matches in all competitions.
• Barcelona have won their two other home games in Champions League Group H.

Under 2.5 goals

• The reverse fixture was a tight affair with just one goal, which was scored by Ferran Torres.
• Barcelona have let in just 0.5 goals per game in this season’s Champions League.
• Porto have conceded just 0.75 goals per game in their Group H matches.

Barcelona vs Porto odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Here are some stats for the game and a tool to help you pick the best odds.

Those are some of the best stats ahead of Barcelona’s clash with Porto. Next, we’ll look at the odds and probabilities and the best Champions League predictions for the game.

Odds Format : Fractional Decimal American

Highest odds accross 7 bookmakers

Barcelona

13/25

Draw

7/2

FC Porto

6/1

Bookmakers comparison

Bookmaker	Barcelona Barcelona	Draw	FC Porto FC
	12/25	7/2	21/4
	16/33	17/5	21/4
	1/2	13/4	11/2
	1/2	7/2	11/2
	13/25	7/2	6/1
	8/17	7/2	11/2
	11/25	7/2	11/2

Head to Head

04/10/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

FC Porto

Barcelona

0

1

Last Five - Barcelona

25/11/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona

1

1

D

12/11/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

Barcelona

1

2

W

07/11/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

Shakhtar Donetsk

Barcelona

1

0

L

04/11/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Sociedad

Barcelona

0

1

W

28/10/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Madrid

Barcelona

2

1

L

Last Five - FC Porto

24/11/23

Portugal Cup Portugal

Montalegre

FC Porto

0

4

W

11/11/23

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Guimaraes

FC Porto

1

2

W

07/11/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

Antwerp

FC Porto

0

2

W

03/11/23

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Estoril

FC Porto

1

0

L

29/10/23

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Vizela

FC Porto

0

2

W

Win probability

• Barcelona odds: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
• Draw odds: 10/3 (4.33) – 23/1%
• Porto odds: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%

Barcelona are the clear favourites for the game with a 69.2% chance of registering a win according to the bookies. If you fancy it to be a low scoring game and are following our Barcelona vs Porto betting tips, odds of 23/20 for under 2.5 goals equates to 46.5% probability. Meanwhile the visitors have a 30.8% chance of leaving Barcelona with a result to bolster their qualification hopes.

Barcelona vs Porto prediction: Team news, lineups & form

Barcelona

Barcelona haven’t been firing of late and dropped points at the weekend in La Liga in the 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano. Their injury problems have eased overall but they’ve recently lost Gavi to a potentially season ending injury while goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen missed the Rayo game and is a major doubt for this one.

Predicted Lineup: Pena (GK), Balde, Kounde, Araujo, Cancelo, Gundogan, Romeu, Pedri, Felix, Lewandowski, Raphinha

Porto

Since losing to Barcelona, Porto have beaten Antwerp twice to get their Champions League campaign back on track. They last played on Friday, winning 4-0 in the Portuguese Cup against minnows Montalegre. They rested a host of key players in that game so their eleven will be very different here, although the visitors are still hampered by injuries to Wendell and Ivan Marcano.

Predicted Lineup: Costa (GK), Sanusi, Carmo, Pepe, Mario, Galeno, Eustaquio, Varela, Franco, Taremi, Aquino

Player to watch: Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski stands out as the man most likely to break the deadlock in our predicted Barcelona vs Porto lineups. He limped off injured in the reverse fixture but has still been Barca’s main goal threat this term with 8 goals in all competitions from 13 starts. The Polish striker scored a brace in his team’s last home game against Alaves in La Liga earlier this month.

Starting lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.