Barcelona v Porto prediction, odds & betting tips 28/11/2023

Barcelona
28/11/23 - 20:00

Finished

2

-

1

FC Porto

Barcelona - FC Porto

UEFA Champions League - Olímpic Lluís Companys

5th Round

Barcelona face Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 28th November. It’s a game that may decide who wins Group H with both sides hoping to secure qualification on the night.

Barcelona vs Porto prediction & free betting tips

Barcelona won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Portugal in October and are targeting a place in the Last 16 for the first time in three seasons.

For the very best daily betting tips check out our best football tips for today.

 Draw/Barcelona Half-time/Full-time

  • Barcelona are tending to score late with 70% of their league goals this season coming in the Second Half.
  • They’ve not scored a First Half goal in any of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Barcelona have won their two other home games in Champions League Group H.

Under 2.5 goals

  • The reverse fixture was a tight affair with just one goal, which was scored by Ferran Torres.
  • Barcelona have let in just 0.5 goals per game in this season’s Champions League.
  • Porto have conceded just 0.75 goals per game in their Group H matches.

Barcelona vs Porto odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Here are some stats for the game and a tool to help you pick the best odds.

Those are some of the best stats ahead of Barcelona’s clash with Porto. Next, we’ll look at the odds and probabilities and the best Champions League predictions for the game.

Head to Head

04/10/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

FC Porto

FC Porto

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

1

Last Five - Barcelona

26/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Sevilla

Sevilla

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

2

W

19/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

3

W

16/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

2

W

13/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Barcelona

Barcelona

0

2

W

04/05/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

2

L

Last Five - FC Porto

26/05/24

Portugal Cup Portugal

Sporting

Sporting

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

2

W

18/05/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Braga

Braga

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

1

W

12/05/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Boavista

Boavista

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

2

W

04/05/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Chaves

Chaves

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

3

W

28/04/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Sporting

Sporting

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

2

D

Win probability

  • Barcelona odds: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • Draw odds: 10/3 (4.33) – 23/1%
  • Porto odds: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%

Barcelona are the clear favourites for the game with a 69.2% chance of registering a win according to the bookies. If you fancy it to be a low scoring game and are following our Barcelona vs Porto betting tips, odds of 23/20 for under 2.5 goals equates to 46.5% probability. Meanwhile the visitors have a 30.8% chance of leaving Barcelona with a result to bolster their qualification hopes.

Barcelona vs Porto prediction: Team news, lineups & form

Barcelona

Barcelona haven’t been firing of late and dropped points at the weekend in La Liga in the 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano. Their injury problems have eased overall but they’ve recently lost Gavi to a potentially season ending injury while goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen missed the Rayo game and is a major doubt for this one.

Predicted Lineup: Pena (GK), Balde, Kounde, Araujo, Cancelo, Gundogan, Romeu, Pedri, Felix, Lewandowski, Raphinha

Porto

Since losing to Barcelona, Porto have beaten Antwerp twice to get their Champions League campaign back on track. They last played on Friday, winning 4-0 in the Portuguese Cup against minnows Montalegre. They rested a host of key players in that game so their eleven will be very different here, although the visitors are still hampered by injuries to Wendell and Ivan Marcano.

Predicted Lineup: Costa (GK), Sanusi, Carmo, Pepe, Mario, Galeno, Eustaquio, Varela, Franco, Taremi, Aquino

Player to watch: Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski stands out as the man most likely to break the deadlock in our predicted Barcelona vs Porto lineups. He limped off injured in the reverse fixture but has still been Barca’s main goal threat this term with 8 goals in all competitions from 13 starts. The Polish striker scored a brace in his team’s last home game against Alaves in La Liga earlier this month.

Starting lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Barcelona

Barcelona
4-3-3
13
Inaki Pena
es
23
Jules Kounde
fr
4
Ronald Araujo
uy
5
Inigo Martinez
es
2
Joao Cancelo
pt
21
Frenkie De Jong
nl
22
Ilkay Gundogan
de
8
Pedri
es
11
Raphinha
br
9
Robert Lewandowski
pl
14
Joao Felix
pt
Substitutes
7
Ferran Torres
es
27
Lamine Yamal Nasraqui Ebana
es
3
Alejandro Balde
es
26
Ander Astralaga Aranguren
es
30
Marc Casado Torras
es
32
Fermin Lopez Marin
es
15
Andreas Christensen
dk
20
Sergi Roberto
es
31
Diego Kochen
us
18
Oriol Romeu
es
17
Marcos Alonso
es

FC Porto

FC Porto
4-4-2
11
Pepe Aquino
br
23
Joao Mario
pt
12
Zaidu Sanusi
ng
30
Evanilson
br
6
Stephen Eustaquio
ca
3
Pepe
pt
99
Diogo Costa
pt
13
Wenderson Galeno
br
9
Mehdi Taremi
ir
22
Alan Varela
ar
2
Fabio Cardoso
pt
Substitutes
8
Marko Grujic
rs
14
Claudio Ramos
pt
10
Chico Conceicao
pt
29
Toni Martinez
es
21
Fran Navarro
es
16
Nicolas Gonzalez
es
15
Jorge Sanchez
mx
70
Goncalo Borges
pt
20
Andre Franco
pt
28
Romario Baro
pt
19
Danny Namaso Loader
gb
17
Ivan Jaime
es


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.