Arsenal vs Porto prediction, odds & betting tips – 12/03/2024

12/03/24 - 20:00

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Arsenal - FC Porto

UEFA Champions League - Emirates Stadium

4th Round

Arsenal are set to take on Porto at the Emirates Stadium in the Champions League round of 16 on Tuesday, 12 October. The Gunners need to overturn a 1-0 scoreline after suffering a defeat in Portugal three weeks ago but will fancy their chances after extending their domestic winning streak at the weekend against Brentford. Ahead of the match, check out our Arsenal vs Porto prediction below.

Arsenal vs Porto prediction: The Gunners are riding a wave of momentum

Key stats

• Arsenal have won eight of their last nine matches in all competitions.
• Arsenal have beaten Porto in their three previous home matches against them by an aggregate score of 11-0.
• Porto have never scored in an away match against Arsenal.
• Porto lost their most recent Champions League away clash.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gunners backed to run riot

• HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
• DRAW: 24/5 (5.80) – 17.2%
• AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Arsenal vs Porto odds tell us that Mikel Arteta's men are expected to run Porto ragged on Tuesday night in North London. The Gunners are playing their best football of the season and while Porto are also performing well in Portugal, the home side should have too much quality for them on home soil.

Not only are Arsenal swatting away every side they face, but they also have a huge historical advantage over Porto. In three previous visits to North London, the Portuguese giants have shipped 11 goals and scored none which doesn't bode well for their chances. It's important to remember, however, that they don't actually need to score on Tuesday as a 0-0 draw would see them qualify for the quarter-finals.

There are some other free betting tips for the match that you should consider. Arsenal to win with a -2 handicap is priced at 17/10 (2.70) while Bukayo Saka to score first is 7/2 (4.50). Saka and the rest of the Arsenal forwards have the chance to add to the long list of brilliant Arsenal goals against Porto on Tuesday night.

Last five H2Hs: Ominous signs for Porto

Over the years, these two teams have enjoyed playing the other at home but no so much away from home. Neither side have managed to ever record a victory against the other away from home, a stat that will give Arsenal fans plenty of reassurance heading into the match at the Emirates Stadium.

UEFA Champions League 21/02/24

FC Porto

1

Arsenal

0

Arsenal preview: Set for their final game for two weeks

Arsenal find themselves top of the Premier League table after their late win against Brentford was followed up by Liverpool and Man City playing out a 1-1 draw at Anfield on Sunday. Arteta will be keen to capitalise on the good feeling around the club by going all out with his team selection on Tuesday.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior, Rice, Jorginho, Odegaard, Saka, Havertz, Martinelli

England EFL Cup 05/02/25

L

Newcastle

2

Arsenal

0

TEST Fixtures 04/02/25

W

Man Utd

0

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 02/02/25

W

Man City

1

Arsenal

5

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

Girona

1

Arsenal

2

England Premier League 25/01/25

W

Wolverhampton

0

Arsenal

1

Porto preview: Looking to produce a shock result

Porto have done well since beating Arsenal three weeks ago and produced a stunning 5-0 win over domestic rivals, Benfica, last weekend. The starting 11 that faced Arsenal last time out are all available for selection so there is no reason for Sérgio Conceição to change anything.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Mario, Otavio, Pepe, Wendell, Varela, Nico, Conceicao, Pepe, Galeno, Evanilson

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/02/25

D

Sporting

1

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/02/25

D

Rio Ave

2

FC Porto

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

W

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/01/25

D

Santa Clara

1

FC Porto

1

UEFA Europa League 23/01/25

L

Olympiakos

1

FC Porto

0

Player to watch: Kai Havertz

Eyebrows were raised when Arsenal spent big money on Kai Havertz in the summer but after a rocky start, the German has become one of Mikel Arteta's most important players.

More big goals on the way?

Havertz has floated between a striker and midfield role this season but in recent weeks he has stayed as the Gunners' focal point at the top of the pitch. The ex-Chelsea man has scored four goals in his last five appearances, with his most recent one being the most crucial. Can he come up with the goods again on Tuesday?

The latest Tweets from each camp

Arsenal

? Team news
? How to tune in live
?️ What the managers say

Our Champions League preview is the perfect read ahead of tonight's big game ?

— Arsenal (@Arsenal) March 12, 2024

Porto

©️APITÃO https://t.co/A0D6OlmQ1y

— FC Porto (@FCPorto) March 12, 2024