Poland vs Ukraine prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/06/2024

Poland vs Ukraine prediction
Poland goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny celebrates saving the winning penalty – Photo by Icon Sport

Poland and Ukraine go head-to-head in a friendly match ahead of Euro 2024 as both teams look to build up some momentum ahead of their trips to Germany later this month.

Friday's clash marks the 10th meeting between these two countries and their first since a 202 friendly which Poland won 2-0 at the Stadion Śląski.

The head-to-head record between these two nations is very close and as such, we're predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes on Friday in which we expect both managers to make plenty of substitutions.

Poland vs Ukraine prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?

Key Stats

  • Five of the last six encounters between these two nations have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Five of Poland's and three of Ukraine's last six fixtures have also witnessed fewer than three goals.
  • Both teams have scored in three of the hosts' last five international matches.
  • Three of the visitors' last five fixtures have ended with both teams scoring.

Pre-game odds and win probability: High chance of a draw

  • HOME: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Nothing between the pair

International Match 10/06/24

Poland

Poland

0
Ukraine

Ukraine

0

International Match 11/11/20

Poland

Poland

2
Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Euro 2016 21/06/16

Ukraine

Ukraine

0
Poland

Poland

1

Poland have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five games against Ukraine, securing a 2-0 victory when the two sides last locked horns in a 2020 friendly.

Poland preview: Final tournament for Lewandowski

Poland captain Robert Lewandowski looks set to play in his final international tournament for his country as he turns 36 in the summer.

The Barcelona star has 148 caps and 82 goals for Poland and is expected to hang up his international boots at the end of Euro 2024, unless he can be convinced to stay on and help Poland qualify for the 2026 World Cup.

Predicted lineup: Szczęsny (GK), Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Kiwior, Zieliński, Frankowski, Slisz, Piotrowski, Zalewski, Lewandowski & Świderski 

International Match 10/06/24

W

Turkey

Turkey

1

Poland

Poland

2

International Match 07/06/24

W

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

Poland

Poland

3

Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24

W

Wales

Wales

0 (4)

Poland

Poland

0 (5)

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

W

Estonia

Estonia

1

Poland

Poland

5

International Match 21/11/23

W

Latvia

Latvia

0

Poland

Poland

2

Ukraine preview: A good mix of youth and experience

Roman Yaremchuk provides the focal point of the Ukraine attack, backed up by the likes of Mykhailo Mudryk, Viktor Tsyhankov and Andriy Yarmolenko.

Not much is expected of Ukraine at Euro 2024 but you can never count out the Eastern Europeans who soft often provide a tough test as we saw earlier this week when Serhiy Rebrov's side held Germany to a goalless draw.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Zinchenko, Svatok, Matviienko, Konoplia, Zabarnyi, Stepanenko, Shaparenko, Mudryk, Yaremchuk & Tsyhankov

International Match 11/06/24

W

Moldova

Moldova

0

Ukraine

Ukraine

4

International Match 07/06/24

L

Poland

Poland

3

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

International Match 03/06/24

D

Germany

Germany

0

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

Euro 2024 Qualifying 26/03/24

W

Iceland

Iceland

1

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

Euro 2024 Qualifying 21/03/24

W

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski

Robert Lewandowski has been a fantastic servant for his country, possibly the best Polish player of all time, but will he score goals to get Poland out of Group D? The ‘group of death' which contains France, Netherlands and Austria.

Lewandowski is already a record holder for Poland both in terms of caps (148) and goals (82), records you wouldn't expect to be broken anytime soon.

Robert Lewandowski player to watch
Poland's Robert Lewandowski in action against Wales – Photo by Icon Sport

Lewandowski will be looking to add to his 82 Poland goals

We've picked the Barcelona forward as our player to watch against Ukraine, not just because he is the most likely source of goals for the home side but also because we don't know how many more times we will be treated to his presence on the international stage and we want to saver each one for as long as possible.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things