Poland will take on Finland on Sunday, 7 September, in a crunch World Cup qualifier.
Both teams are currently locked on seven points after four games played in Group G, and who wins this could go a long way to deciding which team finishes in second place behind the Netherlands.
Finland come into the match on the back of a friendly defeat to Norway, while Poland drew with the Netherlands.
As part of our ongoing selection of World Cup qualifying betting tips, here is our Poland vs Finland prediction.
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Poland vs Finland prediction: A big win ahead for the hosts
Key Stats
- Finland have lost eight of their last nine matches against teams ranked higher than them in the FIFA World Rankings.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Poland's last five matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in five of Finland's last seven matches.
Correct score prediction: Poland 2-0 Finland
Poland haven't been in great form of late, but their dogged 1-1 draw with the Netherlands earlier this week should give them the confidnce to go and put breathing space between themselves and Finland and Group G. The Fins' poor record against teams ranked higher than them is too bad to ignore.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts start as favourites
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Poland vs Finland odds indicate that Poland should be sitting pretty on ten points from five games on Sunday night. Ladbrokes have made the hosts the odds-on favourites, giving them a 63.6% chance of winning the match, while Finland have been given a 17.4% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Recent joy for Finland
One thing that will put doubts into the Polish minds is that they tasted defeat to Finland in the reverse fixture just three months ago. On the night, Finland were brilliant and ran out as deserved 2-1 winners on home soil. Prior to that match, Poland were unbeaten in five matches against Finland.
International Match 07/10/20
Poland
Finland
International Match 26/03/16
Poland
Finland
Poland preview: Pressure on Lewa
After quitting Poland and then returning once the manager was changed, there is an element of pressure on Robert Lewandowski this week as he looks to get back among the goals for the national team. He was taken off after an hour against the Netherlands, so he should be in good shape for this one.
Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK), Cash, Kedziora, Bednarek, Kiwior, Zielinski, Slisz, Kaminski, Szymanski, Zalewski, Lewandowski
Last five matches
- Netherlands 1-1 Poland
- Finland 2-1 Poland
- Poland 2-0 Moldova
- Poland 2-0 Malta
- Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Finland preview: Kallman to be key?
In the last match between Poland and Finland, Benjamin Kallman came off the bench to score what would turn out to be the winning goal. The Hannover striker will feel that his performance off the bench that night, on top of his strong start to the domestic campaign, should be enough to get him a start on Sunday.
Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK), Peltola, Koski, Uronen, Lod, Kamara, Karinen, Tenho, Antman, Kallman, Pohjanpalo
Last five matches
- Norway 1-0 Finland
- Finland 2-1 Poland
- Finland 0-2 Netherlands
- Lithuania 2-2 Finland
- Malta 0-1 Finland
Player to watch: Matty Cash
Matty Cash scored a brilliant goal against the Netherlands earlier in the week to earn his country a valuable point away from home. While his job is primarily to defend his goal, Cash does have plenty of attacking qualities that make him a threat in the final third. Can he continue to push high and support the forwards on Sunday?