Austria will be proud looking back on their performance against France but also be kicking themselves knowing they had chances to rescue an unlikely point. Poland, on the other hand, won't know how they managed to throw away a victory, never mind a certain-looking point after holding the Netherlands at arm's length for the majority of the match.
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Poland vs Austria prediction: Must-win for both sides
Key stats
- Austria boasted more possession than France in their opening group game
- Poland have only ever won two games at the Euros
- Das Team have made the knockout stages just once
Pre-game odds and win probability: Austria to pick up their first win at Euro 2024
- Home: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%
- Away: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
There is far more pressure on Poland to pick up a result in this game knowing they still have to face France in their final group encounter. However, with the fitness of Robert Lewandowski still up in the air and how Austria battled against less Bleus, we fancy them to pick up all three points.
If Lewandowski is fully fit and ready to start, then we'd fancy the BTTS market, although we do provide a lot more free betting tips if you would like to take further inspiration in markets such as over/under goals and a player to outscore the opposition.
Last five H2Hs: Poland have thrived in this fixture
Poland have more often than not come out on top in this picture dating all the way back to their first win against Austria in 1930. Das Team have begruded coming up against Poland in recent times having not beaten them since 1994, however, their last meeting was in 2019 and a lot has changed for both sides since then.
Poland preview: Desperate need for their talisman
Having taken an early lead without their talisman Lewandowski, Poland were in dreamland against the Netherlands. While that didn't last for long, they were just minutes away from a huge point, whereas now they sit third knowing a loss to Austria could all but eliminate them from Euro 2024.
Predicted lineup: Szczesny (GK), Bednarek, Salamon, Kiwior, Frankowski, Zielinski, Moder, Romanczuk, Zalewski, Lewandowski, Buksa
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
W
Malta
0
Poland
2
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Lithuania
0
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
L
Scotland
2
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
L
Portugal
5
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D
Croatia
3
Poland
3
Austria preview: Must take confidence from their opening-round defeat
Das Team will be very confident in this clash having shown some good signs against France last time out and created a fair few opportunities of their own. If they can be a bit more clinical and on the front foot then they should have too much for this Poland side.
Predicted lineup: Pentz (GK), Mwene, Wober, Danso, Posch, Seiwald, Grillitsch, Sabitzer, Baumgartner, Laimer, Arnautovic
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Serbia
2
Austria
0
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
D
Serbia
1
Austria
1
UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24
D
Slovenia
1
Austria
1
UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24
W
Kazakhstan
0
Austria
2
UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24
W
Norway
1
Austria
5
Player to watch: Marko Arnautovic
Having missed out on leading the lien for his country against France, Marko Arnautovic will be fit and ready to go against a vulnerable Poland defence. The Inter Milan striker will be licking his lips knowing that Poland gave up 21 shots against the Netherlands as he looks to pounce on his first goal for Euro 2024.
He's Austria's reliable striker
Arnautovic is his country's second top scorer of all time but will be looking to improve on his poor record at the European Championships having scored just once which came against North Macedonia at Euro 2020.
The latest Tweets from each camp
Poland
? MICHAŁ! PROBIERZ!
When was the last time a Polish coach got this kind of love during a big tournament? Answer: Never had the pleasure! This is a whole new vibe. ? ??#EURO2024pic.twitter.com/qqD6JEvuDb
— PSN Futbol (@PSN_Futbol) June 21, 2024
Austria
Matchday Activation with a view. ??? #gEMma #EURO2024 pic.twitter.com/dh60dTDMnJ
— ÖFB – oefb.at (@oefb1904) June 21, 2024