Pisa will host AC Milan at the Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani on Friday evening, with the home side desperate to secure just their second victory of the 2025/26 Serie A campaign.
The home team’s relegation concern deepened after a goalless draw with bottom-placed Hellas Verona last Friday, a result that leaves them hovering just above their demotion foes on goal difference and still six points from safety.
It was hardly the ideal beginning for new head coach Oscar Hiljemark, as the stalemate extended the club’s winless run to 13 matches, with their only Serie A victory of the season coming back in November.
Although that success was achieved at the Arena Garibaldi, recent home form offers little encouragement, with five defeats in their last six league games there. Hiljemark, therefore, faces a significant challenge to spark belief and engineer a survival bid.
Milan, meanwhile, arrive after a convincing 3–0 win over Bologna, though they remain eight points adrift of leaders Inter despite holding a game in hand.
A sequence of three draws in their last six league outings, including two against sides placed 15th or lower, has slowed their pursuit of the summit.
Even so, Massimiliano Allegri’s team have been formidable at both ends of the pitch this season, ranking among the best three in Serie A for goals scored and goals conceded. Their strength on the road is particularly notable, as they are the only side yet to suffer an away defeat in the league.
Read our Pisa vs Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
Contents
- 1 Pisa vs Milan prediction: Away team to get a comfortable win
- 2 Key statistics
- 3 Correct score prediction: Pisa 1-3 Milan
- 4 Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan clear favourites
- 5 Most recent head-to-head: Milan with slight advantage
- 6 Pisa preview: Suspension adds to injury concerns
- 7 AC Milan preview: Positive selection boost
- 8 Player to watch: Christopher Nkunku
Pisa vs Milan prediction: Away team to get a comfortable win
Key statistics
- AC Milan have gone five matches without defeat on the road, with at least two goals scored across both teams in four of those outings.
- Milan have won two of their last three meetings against Pisa.
- Pisa have scored at least one goal in four of their last five Serie A games.
Correct score prediction: Pisa 1-3 Milan
The visitors are in good form and we expect them to secure a routine victory in this encounter. We predict a 3-1 win for Milan based on their performance this season.
The Rossoneri have kept 12 clean sheets this season, but the home side have struggled immensely in the final third. While the previous meeting earlier this season ended in a surprising 2-2 draw at San Siro, we believe the current form of Milan will get them a win in this clash.
Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan clear favourites
- Home: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- Draw: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Away: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The odds strongly favour AC Milan heading into this encounter, with the visitors priced at just 1.53, implying a dominant 65.2% probability of securing all three points. Their recent form and superior squad depth are clearly reflected in the odds.
Pisa are significant outsiders at 6.00, translating to only a 16.7% chance of a home victory, while the draw is valued at 4.20 (23.8%), suggesting it is considered more likely than a Pisa win but still an underdog outcome overall.
In summary, the odds point towards Milan being expected to control proceedings, with anything other than an away win viewed as an upset.
Most recent head-to-head: Milan with slight advantage
Looking at the history between these two sides, the recent record is remarkably thin, given the different paths both clubs have taken over the last decade.
The last meeting in October 2025 ended in a dramatic 2-2 draw, with a late strike from Zachary Athekame saving a point for the Milanese giants after Pisa had taken a shock 2-1 lead.
In their previous competitive encounters, dating back further into history, the home side has struggled to break the dominance of the seven-time European champions.
However, the recent draw at San Siro serves as a warning to the visitors that the Nerazzurri can be dangerous if underestimated. Across their last three recorded meetings, the visitors have won twice, with a recent draw this season.
Italy Serie A 24/10/25
AC Milan
Pisa
After reviewing our key Pisa vs Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Pisa preview: Suspension adds to injury concerns
Pisa remain without Raul Albiol, Daniel Denoon and Isak Vural, with the trio continuing their recovery on the treatment table. First-choice goalkeeper Adrian Semper is also a doubt, leaving some uncertainty between the posts.
In addition, Marius Marin is unavailable after picking up a suspension, forcing a reshuffle in midfield for the host.
Predicted lineup: Scuffet (GK), Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Coppola, Toure, Loyola, Aebischer, Angori, Stojilkovic, Moreo & Durosinmi
Last five fixtures
- 06.02.26 – Verona 0–0 Pisa
- 31.01.26 – Pisa 1–3 Sassuolo
- 23.01.26 – Inter 6–2 Pisa
- 16.01.26 – Pisa 1–1 Atalanta
- 10.01.26 – Udinese 2–2 Pisa
AC Milan preview: Positive selection boost
Milan's top scorer, Christian Pulisic, is expected to return to the squad. Influential wing-back Alexis Saelemaekers could also be available if he proves his fitness following an adductor issue.
Should Saelemaekers recover in time, Santiago Gimenez would be the only confirmed absentee through injury, leaving Massimiliano Allegri with plenty of options across the pitch.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), De Winter, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi, Leao & Nkunku
Last five fixtures
- 03.02.26 – Bologna 0–3 AC Milan
- 25.01.26 – AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan
- 18.01.26 – AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
- 15.01.26 – Como 1–3 AC Milan
- 11.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
Player to watch: Christopher Nkunku
Christopher Nkunku has started 2026 in good form for AC Milan and has found the net on several occasions. The former Chelsea star was on target for his team in their recent win against Bologna.
This season, he has managed to score five goals and provide two assists in the Serie A. He has also scored three goals in his last five games in the league. He has consistently been involved in the final third and will be a key presence against Pisa.