Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/07/2025

Separated by 10 points in the MLS Eastern Conference, top-eight rivals Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls draw swords for all three points at Subaru Park on Sunday, 13 July.

Keep close tabs on MLS predictions after viewing our Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls predictions below.

Philadelphia Union vs NY Red Bulls prediction: Draw the probable outcome

Key Stats

• Philadelphia are undefeated in 10 straight competitive home games (W7, D3).
• The Union have failed to score in back-to-back matches, losing both games.
• NY Red Bulls are winless in four league games on the trot (D3, L1).
• The Red Bulls have failed to win four of their last five away MLS matches (D2, L2).

Correct score prediction: Philadelphia 1-1 NY Red Bulls

As Philadelphia prepare to meet NY Red Bulls for the first time this year in any competition, the stakes are high as Bradley Carnell’s men look to end their recent run of back-to-back losses. However, the hosts will take inspiration from the fact that they are unbeaten at Subaru Park in eight league games on the run. Meanwhile, sitting 10 points behind the Union, Sandro Schwarz’s side are themselves on the hunt for a first win in five league games. But the team from the Big Apple have a dismal away record this calendar year, thus we foresee the two clubs sharing spoils in a hard-fought draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage speaks volumes

• HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.5%
• DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
• AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Philadelphia enter this clash as slight favourites to snatch all three points at home, backed by odds of 4/5 (1.80), suggesting a 55.5% chance of triumph. One can assume this is largely due to their superior home record of just one loss in 10 games they’ve hosted.

The visitors are deemed as underdogs by bookmakers, drawing odds of 11/4 (3.75), indicating a minority 26.6% win probability rate for the Red Bulls. Their last triumph away from home dates back to the end of May, when they beat DC United 2-0.

With such intriguing odds at play, be sure to check out all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: History favours the Union

Philadelphia have a 14-match unbeaten H2H streak in their favour coming into this home encounter.

USA US Open Cup 10/07/25

Philadelphia Union

0

New York Red Bulls

0

USA MLS 01/09/24

New York Red Bulls

0

Philadelphia Union

2

USA MLS 07/07/24

Philadelphia Union

0

New York Red Bulls

0

USA MLS 04/09/23

Philadelphia Union

4

New York Red Bulls

1

Leagues Cup 09/08/23

Philadelphia Union

1 (4)

New York Red Bulls

1 (3)

Philadelphia preview: Can they extend their impressive home record?

Victory is the need of the hour for Carnell and co. However, the South African coach will have to deal with the absence of Ian Glavinovich due to a knee injury, while Jesus Bueno, Francis Westfield and Mikael Uhre are all questionable to start.

Predicted lineup: Blake (GK), Makhanya, Glesnes, Wagner, Harriel, Lukic, Jacques, Vassilev, Sullivan, Baribo & Damiani

USA MLS 10/05/25

D

Columbus Crew

2

Philadelphia Union

2

USA US Open Cup 07/05/25

W

Indy Eleven

1 (4)

Philadelphia Union

1 (5)

USA MLS 03/05/25

W

CF Montreal

1

Philadelphia Union

2

USA MLS 26/04/25

W

DC United

0

Philadelphia Union

3

USA MLS 19/04/25

W

Atlanta United

0

Philadelphia Union

3

NY Red Bulls preview: A second away win this season?

NYRB are one of the two teams, alongside neighbours New York City FC to claim just one away victory this term. Raheem Edwards picked up a red on the sidelines against San Jose Earthquakes, while Cameron Harper, Lewis Morgan and Roald Mitchell are missing as well.

Predicted lineup: Marcucci (GK), Nealis, Hack, Eile, Edelman, Stroud, Edwards, Sofo, Choupo-Moting, Carmona & Forsberg

USA MLS 10/05/25

W

LA Galaxy

0

New York Red Bulls

7

USA US Open Cup 07/05/25

W

Colorado Switchbacks FC

1

New York Red Bulls

4

USA MLS 03/05/25

L

Inter Miami CF

4

New York Red Bulls

1

USA MLS 26/04/25

W

CF Montreal

0

New York Red Bulls

1

USA MLS 19/04/25

L

DC United

2

New York Red Bulls

1

Player to watch: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

The Cameroon international has been one of NYRB’s brightest players this season with 11 goals and two assists. Choupo-Moting might have fired blanks against San Jose, but back him to get on the scoresheet against Philadelphia, who he faces for the first time since moving to NYRB at the start of the year.