PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/03/2026
Mika Godts of Ajax celebrates after scoring in the Eredivisie match between Ajax and PEC Zwolle at the Johan Cruijff ArenA - Photo by IMAGO/ANP
🔥 Our Hot tip

Ajax to win

Zwolle have conceded the second-most goals in the Eredivisie (50) this term, but they have also found the back of the net in each of their last 19 encounters. As a result, we expect the home side to register once again, albeit to no avail, with Ajax cruising to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.

Round 25 of the 2025-26 Eredivisie season sees PEC Zwolle host Ajax at the Mac3Park Stadion on Sunday afternoon.

Both teams had to settle for a share of the spoils in their respective last outings and will be keen to go one better this time around.

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction: Back to winning ways for de Godenzonen

Key stats

  • Ajax have gone five matches without a clean sheet, though they are unbeaten in four of those games.
  • Zwolle have also been shoddy at the back of late, having conceded in their most recent eight outings.
  • Each of the hosts' last eight matches has seen both teams score; the same holds for each of the visitors' last five matches.

Correct score prediction: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax

Zwolle have conceded the second-most goals in the Eredivisie (50) this term, but they have also found the back of the net in each of their last 19 encounters.

As a result, we expect the home side to register once again, albeit to no avail, with Ajax cruising to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Can Zwolle upset the odds?

  • HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Zwolle had won five straight home league matches before their 2-1 defeat to Volendam on February 7, which marked their first Eredivisie loss in front of their fans since October.

Henry van der Vegt's men have been given only a 25% chance of coming away with maximum points this weekend as they seek to snap a three-game winless run.

Winning just three of 11 league matches on the road so far, Ajax have not fared well on their travels but are favourites to get the job done this weekend, with an away win currently priced at 4/5 (1.80).

Fred Grim's men are currently embroiled in a battle for third place with NEC, who they currently trail on goal difference.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Ajax eyeing fifth consecutive victory

Ajax have gotten the better of Zwolle more often than not, with no defeats in the last 20 meetings between the teams since 2014.

September's 3-1 triumph at the Johan Cruyff Arena was a fourth straight triumph in this fixture for Sunday's visitors.

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/09/25

Ajax

Ajax

3
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/03/25

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

0
Ajax

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 24/11/24

Ajax

Ajax

2
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

0

Europe Friendlies 05/07/24

Ajax

Ajax

0
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 31/03/24

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1
Ajax

Ajax

3

PEC Zwolle preview: Jan Faberski unavailable to face former club

After receiving his marching orders in the 1-1 draw against PEC Zwolle, Faberski is ineligible to play any part for Zwolle against Ajax, whom he represented at youth level.

The 19-year-old joins Samir Lagsir, Jamiro Monteiro, Jasper Schendelaar, Ryan Thomas, Damian van der Haar and David Voute as absentees for the hosts.

Predicted lineup: De Graaff (GK), Floranus, MacNulty, Graves, Gooijer, Buurmeester, Fichtinger, Shoretire, Oosting, Namli & Kostons

PEC Zwolle's last five matches:

  • 22/02/26: Utrecht 1-1 Zwolle (Eredivisie)
  • 15/02/26: Heerenveen 4-2 Zwolle (Eredivisie)
  • 07/02/26: Zwolle 1-2 FC Volendam (Eredivisie)
  • 31/01/26: Zwolle 4-1 Telstar (Eredivisie)
  • 24/01/26: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Zwolle (Eredivisie)

Ajax preview: Maarten Paes to continue in goal

With Viteslav Jaros out with a knee problem, Paes made his first league start of the season against NEC and is set to retain his place between the sticks.

Also unavailable for the away side are Ko Itakura, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Kasper Dolberg, Davy Klaassen and Youri Regeer

Predicted lineup: Paes (GK), Wijndal, Baas, Sutalo, Rosa, Steur, Mokio, Fitz-Jim, Godts, Weghorst & Bounida

Ajax's last five matches:

  • 21/02/26: Ajax 1-1 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie)
  • 14/02/26: Ajax 4-1 Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie)
  • 08/02/26: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax (Eredivisie)
  • 01/02/26: Excelsior 2-2 Ajax (Eredivisie)
  • 28/01/26: Ajax 1-2 Olympiacos (Champions League)

Player to watch – Mika Godts

While his strike against NEC Nijmegen was not enough to secure all three points, Godts has been one of the biggest revelations of the current campaign.

Mika Godts in action for Ajax – Photo by IMAGO/DeFodi Images

The 20-year-old now has 21 direct goal contributions – 13 goals and eight assists – which are the most of any Eredivisie player this season.


Trading in blueprints for bylines, Marvellous is an engineering graduate who has found his true calling in sports writing. A dedicated Chelsea fan who also follows the NBA, he enjoys blending his love for football and basketball with thoughtful commentary and a relatable voice that keeps readers connected.