Separated by 10 points at the bottom of the Serie A table, lowest ranked Monza host Parma, who are on the edge of the relegation zone, at the Stadio Brianteo on Saturday, 15 March.
View our free predictions for this Italian Serie A game below.
Contents
Monza vs Parma predictions: No winners here
Key stats
- Monza have won just once in Serie A since October 2024, against Fiorentina in January.
- The Biancorossi remain winless in eight straight league outings (D1, L7).
- Only Venezia (6) and Monza (7) have gained fewer points on the road this campaign than Parma (8).
- Parma have led at half-time in only two of their 13 away league games this season.
Correct score prediction: Monza 1-1 Parma
Alessandro Nesta’s men are in disarray, managing just one point from their last eight Serie A outings, with relegation looking increasingly inevitable. However. Their 3-2 defeat to Inter Milan, where they scored twice for the first time in eight games, offers a glimmer of hope for at least salvaging a draw.
Parma, meanwhile, have been resilient, suffering just one loss in their last three matches (W1, D1, L1), making this a tough challenge for the hosts. A hard-fought draw could be on the cards at the Stadio Brianteo.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Parma are slight favourites
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.2%
- AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Biancorossi sit 10 points from safety, with just two wins all season and a league-high 18 defeats to their name. Their chances of victory stand at 33.3% (2/1 odds), a tough ask against a Parma side that has picked up four points from their last three matches.
Christian Chivu will see this as a must-win fixture, expecting his side to capitalize on Monza’s struggles. With bookmakers giving Parma a 40.8% win probability, they will be eager to snap a four-game away losing streak—each defeat coming by a single goal.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Parma to remain unbeaten?
Parma secured a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, extending their unbeaten run against Monza across the top two tiers of Italian football to four games (W2, D2).
Italy Serie A 28/12/24
Parma
Monza
Italy Serie B 02/03/22
Monza
Parma
Italy Serie B 17/10/21
Parma
Monza
Club Friendly List 26/08/15
Monza
Parma
Monza preview: Time’s running out at the Brianteo
Desperately in need of points, a draw perhaps will not really help Nesta and co. as their points gap to safety continues to increase. Six absentees will not feature for Monza: Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro, Luca Caldirola, Andrea Carboni, Patrick Ciurria, Roberto Gagliardini and Stefano Sensi.
Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), Pereira, Izzo, D’Ambrosio, Birindelli, Castrovilli, Bianco, Zeroli, Kyriakopoulos, Balde, Mota
Italy Serie A 15/03/25
D
Parma
1
Monza
1
Italy Serie A 08/03/25
L
Inter Milan
3
Monza
2
Italy Serie A 02/03/25
L
Torino
2
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 24/02/25
L
Roma
4
Monza
0
Italy Serie A 16/02/25
D
Lecce
0
Monza
0
Parma preview: Can they extend their gap over the drop zone?
The Crociati’s pursuit of a league H2H double against a single opponent for the first time since 2014, when they beat Sassuolo, will be without seven players. Milan Djuric, Valentin Mihaila, Alessandro Circati, Gabriel Charpentier, Adrien Benedyczak and Yordan Osorio are all absentees.
Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Del Prato, Vogliacco, Pellegrino, Valeri, Keita, Nahuel, Estevez, Sohm, Almqvist, Bonny, Cancellieri
Italy Serie A 15/03/25
D
Monza
1
Parma
1
Italy Serie A 08/03/25
D
Torino
2
Parma
2
Italy Serie A 01/03/25
L
Udinese
1
Parma
0
Italy Serie A 22/02/25
W
Bologna
0
Parma
2
Italy Serie A 16/02/25
L
Roma
1
Parma
0
Player to watch: Samuele Birindelli
Birindelli’s only two goals this campaign have come against big guns Juventus and Inter Milan – one of which was Monza’s opening goal against the Nerazzurri last matchday. Expect him to make a difference on the right flank for the Biancorossi.
