Parma vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips 04/10/2025
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 1.5

These two teams have only scored seven goals between them in ten Serie A matches this season.

Parma will take on Lecce in Serie A on Saturday, 4 October, in a match between two sides who only have one win between them so far this season.

Parma had gone winless over their first four games of the season, but a win last weekend has lifted them away from the bottom three. Lecce, meanwhile, are still searching for their first victory of the campaign.

As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Parma vs Lecce prediction below.

Parma vs Lecce prediction: A drab affair

Key Stats

  • Both teams have enjoyed two goalless draws between them this season.
  • Parma have failed to score in three of their five Serie A matches this season.
  • Lecce have failed to score in two of their five Serie A matches this season.

Correct score prediction: Parma 0-0 Lecce

There isn't an awful lot to split these two teams, and although Parma have rediscovered that winning feeling over the past week, Lecce will be dogged at the back, which could be all it takes to keep out a relatively weak attack.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Parma start as the favourites

  • HOME: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.5%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Parma vs Lecce odds are weighted in favour of the hosts, which makes sense considering they are the only one of the two teams to have won a game this season. Ladbrokes have given Parma a 54.5% chance of winning the match, while Lecce have been given a 22.7% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Lecce

It is Lecce who have the better of the recent H2H record between these two teams, with the visitors on Saturday losing just one of their last five league matches against Parma across Serie A and Serie B.

Italy Serie A 31/01/25

Parma

Parma

1
Lecce

Lecce

3

Italy Serie A 21/09/24

Lecce

Lecce

2
Parma

Parma

2

Coppa Italia 01/11/23

Lecce

Lecce

2
Parma

Parma

4

Europe Friendlies 29/07/22

Parma

Parma

1
Lecce

Lecce

0

Italy Serie B 19/03/22

Parma

Parma

0
Lecce

Lecce

0

Parma preview: Five missing

Parma will have to fight without five first-team players this weekend, with Hernani, Lautrao Valenti, Jacob Ondrejka and Matija Frigan all out injured, and Benja Cremaschi on international duty. The latter is starring for the USA under-20s at the U20 World Cup as he looks to wrestle his way into their squad for next summer's FIFA World Cup.

Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Del Prato, Circati, Ndiaye, Estevez, Britschgi, Ordonez, Sorensen, Lovik, Benedyczak, Pellegrino

Last five results

  • Parma 2-1 Torino
  • Parma 2-2 Spezia
  • Cremonese 0-0 Parma
  • Cagliari 2-0 Parma
  • Parma 1-1 Atalanta

Lecce preview: Teenage sensation to start?

There could be a place in the Lecce starting XI for Francesco Camarda this weekend after the 17-year-old came off the bench to score a last-minute equaliser against Bologna last week. Elsewhere, Lecce will be without Bthazar Pierret, Antonino Gallo, Filip Marchwinski and Gaby Jean due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Kouassi, Gasper, Gabriel, Ndaba, Ramadani, Coulibali, Berisha, Pierotti, Stulic, Camarda

Last five results

  • Lecce 2-2 Bologna
  • AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
  • Lecce 1-2 Cagliari
  • Atalanta 4-1 Lecce
  • Lecce 0-2 AC Milan

Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino

Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino – Photo by IMAGO/Guissepe Maffia

If Parma are to prove me wrong and find a way onto the scoresheet on Saturday, then you imagine it will have to come through Mateo Pellegrino, who was linked with a move to the Premier League in the summer. Pellegrino has scored three goals in his last two appearances in all competitions and will be raring to go this weekend.

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Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.