Parma vs Inter prediction, odds & betting tips – 07 /01/2026
Inter Milan players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / ZUMA Press Wire
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Home(First-half win)

Inter Milan have won the first-half in their last two meetings with Parma.

Following the turn of a new year, Inter Milan will take on Parma in the Serie A at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Wednesday, with the visitors looking to maintain their form and their top position on the table.

Parma head into this midweek round with a six-point cushion above the relegation zone after a 1-1 draw with Sassuolo on Saturday. Their recent form has been encouraging, collecting ten points from their last six league matches. 

However, a 1-0 victory over Fiorentina in their previous home game gives Carlos Cuesta’s side a chance to record back-to-back top-flight home wins for the first time since January 2020.

Inter, meanwhile, have continued their dominant run into 2026, following a 3-1 win over Bologna that secured a fifth straight league victory and saw them return to the top of the Serie A table. 

With only two points separating the top three teams, the title race remains finely poised, but Inter’s 12 wins from their last 14 league matches suggest they are well-positioned to maintain their challenge after narrowly missing out last season. 

Strong away form, with six wins in their last seven league trips, will further boost Cristian Chivu’s side as they return to face the team he managed before joining Inter in the summer.

Read our Parma vs Inter predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.

Parma vs Inter prediction: Visitors to win

Key statistics

  • First-half have been won by Inter Milan in their last two clashes against Parma.
  • Inter have won three of their last five meetings against Parma. 
  • BTTS have been played in four of their last five meetings.

Correct score prediction: Parma 1-3 Inter

We expect this game to come easily for the visitors who are gunning for the Serie A title. The balance of quality should tilt the game in favour of the visitors and our prediction is a 3-1 win for Inter, whose depth and attack often prove decisive in matches.

Parma are capable of making life uncomfortable at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, yet recent head-to-head meetings point to Inter’s ability to navigate these challenges successfully. However, they should be able to manage the rhythm of the game and do enough to claim all three points.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter expected to win 

  • Home: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • Draw: 19/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • Away: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Inter Milan head into this fixture as favourites, with odds of 1.40 implying a 71.4% chance of an away victory. Parma are strong outsiders at 7.00 (14.3%), while the draw is priced at 3.80, giving it a 26.3% probability.

The odds suggest Inter are expected to dominate proceedings, though Parma could still make things difficult if they remain disciplined, capitalise on any rare opportunities and use their home advantage.

Most recent head-to-head: Inter Milan dominate

Looking at the most recent history between these two clubs, the record heavily favours the away side. In their last five competitive meetings across all competitions, Inter have managed to secure three victories, while Parma have failed to record a single win, with two matches ending in a draw.

The last encounter between these teams in 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw, showcasing that Parma can indeed frustrate the giants when they are at their best. Before that, Inter recorded a 3-1 win in 2024 and a narrow 2-1 victory in the Coppa Italia in 2023.

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

Parma

Parma

2
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 06/12/24

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3
Parma

Parma

1

Coppa Italia 10/01/23

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2
Parma

Parma

1

Elite Club Friendlies 08/08/21

Parma

Parma

0
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Italy Serie A 04/03/21

Parma

Parma

1
Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

After reviewing our key Parma vs Inter predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Parma preview: Key players sidelined

Parma will be without Zion Suzuki, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, and Matija Frigan due to injury. Their absences reduce the options available to Carlos Cuesta, particularly in defence and attack, as the team looks to maintain its positive run of results.

Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Del Prato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri, Bernabé, Keita, Sørensen, Oristanio, Pellegrino & Ondrejka

Last five fixtures

  • 03.01.26 – Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
  • 27.12.25 – Parma 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 13.12.25 – Parma 0–1 Lazio
  • 08.12.25 – Pisa 0–1 Parma
  • 04.12.25 – Bologna 2–1 Parma

Inter preview: Several absences ahead of clash 

Inter are missing Ange-Yoan Bonny, Raffaele Di Gennaro, Tomas Palacios, Denzel Dumfries, and Matteo Darmian through injury. These absences limit squad depth, though the Nerazzurri’s strong form should help them cope despite the missing personnel.

Predicted lineup: Sommer (GK), Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni, Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Zielinski, Dimarco, Martinez & Thuram

Last five fixtures

  • 04.01.26 – Inter 3–1 Bologna
  • 28.12.25 – Atalanta 0–1 Inter
  • 19.12.25 – Bologna 2–1 Inter
  • 14.12.25 – Genoa 1–2 Inter
  • 09.12.25 – Inter 0–1 Liverpool

Player to watch: Lautaro Martinez

Lautaro Martinez is currently the most dangerous attacking threat for the visiting team and he remains in fantastic goal-scoring form. The Argentine forward has already registered nine goals and three assists this season.

Lautaro Martinez celebrating || Credit || IMAGO / Gonzales Photo
Lautaro Martinez celebrating || Credit || IMAGO / Gonzales Photo

He scored the decisive winning goal in the 1-0 victory over Atalanta just a few days ago. His exceptional movement inside the penalty area and his finishing make him a constant problem for any defensive line in the league. 

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