Parma vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/08/2024

Parma vs Fiorentina prediction
Parma will be determined to mark their return to Serie A with a win. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Parma or draw

Fiorentina dropped points in 12 of their 19 Serie A away fixtures last term.

Newly-promoted Parma open their account for the season with a home game against Fiorentina at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Saturday, 17 August. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the match below.

Parma vs Fiorentina prediction: Hosts to secure at least a point?

Key Stats

  • Parma beat a strong Atalanta side 4-1 in a pre-season friendly at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
  • Fiorentina dropped points in 12 of their 19 Serie A away games last season.
  • Parma only lost one home fixture on their way to winning Serie B last term.
  • Fiorentina conceded two goals in each of their final three away assignments of the previous campaign.

Correct score prediction: Parma 2-1 Fiorentina

Parma lost just one league game at home in the second tier last season and they averaged 1.78 goals per contest along the way. Fiorentina meanwhile, conceded two goals in each of their final three away fixtures of the last campaign and they could come unstuck again when they visit a Parma side eager to make a splash in their first appearance back in Serie A.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Parma an attractive price

  • HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Parma showed both sides of their character in recent weeks, first performing brilliantly to beat Atalanta 4-1 in a friendly before they slipped to a 1-0 loss at home to Palermo in the Coppa Italia. Still, they lost just once in the league at home during their title charge in Serie B last season and they look like excellent value at 23/10 to start their Serie A adventure with a win. View more of our latest Italian football predictions on our free football tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Trend of drawn fixtures

Each of the last four meetings between Parma and Fiorentina have ended all square and though the sides haven’t met in Serie A since March 2021, they did collide in the Coppa Italia in December last year.

Coppa Italia 06/12/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2 (4)
Parma

Parma

2 (1)

Europe Friendlies 20/07/23

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1
Parma

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 07/03/21

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3
Parma

Parma

3

Italy Serie A 07/11/20

Parma

Parma

0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 05/07/20

Parma

Parma

1
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Parma preview: Valeri could make Serie A debut

Adrian Benedyczak is injured for Parma, though the hosts have few personnel concerns to trouble them elsewhere. Summer signing Zion Suzuki will hope to feature between the sticks in Serie A for the first time while Emmanuel Valeri will also be eager to make his debut in defence.

Predicted lineup: Chichizola (GK), Coulibaly, Balogh, Osorio, Valeri, Man, Estevez, Cyprien, Mihaila, Sohm, Bonny

Italy Serie A 31/08/24

L

Napoli

Napoli

2

Parma

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Parma

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

D

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Parma

Parma

1

Coppa Italia 11/08/24

L

Palermo

Palermo

1

Parma

Parma

0

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/24

W

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Parma

Parma

4

Fiorentina preview: De Gea to start for the first time?

Luca Ranieri has carried a one-game ban over from last season and will be suspended for Fiorentina's opening fixture this weekend. Marin Pongracic and Moise Kean are in line to start for the first time, while David de Gea could get the nod in goal having signed for La Viola this week.

Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Kayode, Martinz, Pongracic, Biraghi, Lopez, Barak, Gonzalez, Beltran, Kean, Belotti

Italy Serie A 01/09/24

D

Monza

Monza

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24

W

Puskas Academy

Puskas Academy

1 (4)

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1 (5)

Italy Serie A 25/08/24

D

Venezia

Venezia

0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 22/08/24

D

Puskas Academy

Puskas Academy

3

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

D

Parma

Parma

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

Player to watch – David de Gea

David de Gea is finally back in football having not played a single minute for anyone since leaving Manchester United in the summer of 2023. Some even speculated that retirement could be in the works for the 33-year-old, though the Spaniard has chosen to rekindle his career in Florence.

Parma vs Fiorentina prediction
David De Gea could play for the first time in a year this weekend. (Photo by Imago)

Ring rust a possibility for De Gea

De Gea has been out of action for well over a year, so it will be fascinating to see if his reflexes are still sharp. The veteran isn’t certain to start on Saturday, though his inclusion for Fiorentina would add an extra layer of intrigue to their clash with newly-promoted Parma.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.