After claiming their maiden victory this league term, Fiorentina travel to Parma in an attempt to make it back-to-back wins and rise up from the foot of the Serie A table, when they meet at Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, 27 December.
Keep close tabs on Italian Serie A predictions after viewing our key Parma vs Fiorentina tips below.
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Key stats
- Parma have lost three of their last five competitive fixtures.
- Six of the 18 goals the Crociati have conceded have arrived in the final quarter-hour.
- Fiorentina are one of the two teams winless away from home in Serie A.
- The Viola have won once across their last six league outings (D2, L3).
Correct score prediction: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Carlos Cuesta’s men crumbled in spectacular fashion in their previous league outing, as nine-man Lazio returned home with all three points. That defeat rendered them level on 14 points alongside fellow strugglers Genoa just outside the drop zone.
Meanwhile, an early red card for Udinese set the tone for Fiorentina’s first league win of the season in 16 attempts, as Paolo Vanoli’s men shipped five in emphatic manner to halt their dismal winless run. Their only win away from home arrived in the UEFA Conference League, and their recent win will provide them with momentum to claim their first away win of the domestic season.
Both teams have been battling hard for points in recent matchdays, and a hard-fought draw could be on the cards at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lens better positioned for victory
- HOME: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.25%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.25%
- AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
No side has scored fewer than Parma’s 10 goals so far in Serie A. The Crociati’s chances of victory stand at 31.2% (11/5 odds), a tough ask against a motivated Fiorentina side on the back of their first league win.
Paolo Vanoli will see this as a must-win fixture, expecting his side to rise up the standings as they sit five points from safety. With bookmakers assigning Fiorentina a 43.4% win probability rate, they will be eager to snap an eight-game winless streak away from home.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Parma vs Fiorentina predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: A third successive Serie A draw?
Six of the last seven competitive H2Hs between the two sides have ended level after normal time, with Fiorentina winning the other matchup 2-1 at Ennio Tardini back in 2020 – the Viola’s only victory in 11 trips to Parma.
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
Fiorentina
Parma
Italy Serie A 17/08/24
Parma
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 06/12/23
Fiorentina
Parma
Europe Friendlies 20/07/23
Fiorentina
Parma
Italy Serie A 07/03/21
Fiorentina
Parma
Parma preview: Can they extend their gap over the drop zone?
There are five players sidelined for Parma: Matja Frigan, Zion Suzuki and Niakhate Ndiaye. Alessandro Circati and Gaetano Oristanio are questionable to star in this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Britschgi, Delprato, Valenti, Valeri, Bernabe, Estevez, Keita, Benedyczak, Ondrejka & Pellegrino
Last five matches:
- Parma 0-1 Lazio (Serie A)
- Pisa 0-1 Parma (Serie A)
- Bologna 2-1 Parma (Coppa Italia)
- Parma 0-2 Udinese (Serie A)
- Hellas Verona 1-2 Parma (Serie A)
Fiorentina preview: Can they build upon their momentum?
The Viola’s pursuit of a successive league wins will be without six players. Robin Gosens, Pablo Mari, Tariq Lamptey and Jacopo Fazzini are confirmed absentees, while Luca Ranieri is suspended due to accumulation of yellow cards and Rolando Mandragora is doubtful.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Pongracic, Comuzzo, Viti, Dodo, Mandragora, Fagioli, Ndour, Parisi, Gudmundsson & Kean
Last five matches:
- Fiorentina 5-1 Udinese (Serie A)
- Lausanne 1-0 Fiorentina (UEFA Conference League)
- Fiorentina 1-2 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
- Fiorentina 2-1 Dynamo Kyiv (UEFA Conference League)
- Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina (Serie A)
Player to watch: Moise Kean
Kean has misfired all season domestically, but rose to the occasion with a fantastic brace in the 5-1 win over Udinese. The Italian forward will prove significant if Fiorentina are to return home with at least a point.