Two struggling sides meet in a big game at the bottom of the Italian top flight on Sunday. Our Cagliari vs Parma prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether either side can boost their survival prospects with three points.
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Cagliari vs Parma prediction: Three goals scored in home win
Key stats
- Our Cagliari vs Parma betting tips take into account that the visitors have won just one out of 11 on the road this season in the league.
- Six of Cagliari’s last eight competitive games have served up over 2.5 goals.
- They’ve won 60% of their Serie A home games against bottom half opposition.
Correct score prediction: Cagliari 2-1 Parma
Both sides will be pretty low on confidence heading into this, but wins against Monza and Lecce since the turn of the year should give Cagliari a bit of belief that they can also get the job done here.
Parma are winless so far in 2025. Having suffered a damaging home defeat in a relegation six-pointer last time out, it’s hard to fancy them here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites
- HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Cagliari vs Parma odds, with an implied probability of 52.4% that they win this match.
Cagliari were in Monday night action, going down 2-1 at home to Lazio, despite a goal from Roberto Piccoli.
As for Parma, they lost 3-1 at home to Lecce last time out, with Emanuele Valeri their goalscorer.
For more from the upcoming action in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Cagliari have the edge
Our Cagliari vs Parma prediction suggests we could see a third win in the space of four meetings for the Sardinian side.
Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings.
Italy Serie A 30/09/24
Parma
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 03/06/23
Parma
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 30/05/23
Cagliari
Parma
Italy Serie B 22/04/23
Parma
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 03/12/22
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari preview: Luvumbo sidelined for the hosts
Zito Luvumbo is out, but otherwise Cagliari should be at full strength for this game.
Predicted Lineup: Caprile (GK), Augello, Luperto, Mina, Zappa, Adopo, Makoumbou, Felici, Gaetano, Zortea & Piccoli
Italy Serie A 10/05/25 L Como 3 Cagliari 1 Italy Serie A 03/05/25 L Udinese 2 Cagliari 1 Italy Serie A 28/04/25 W Verona 0 Cagliari 2 Italy Serie A 23/04/25 L Fiorentina 2 Cagliari 1 Italy Serie A 12/04/25 L Inter Milan 3 Cagliari 1
Parma preview: Big injury problems for the visitors
Gabriel Charpentier, Yordan Osorio, Alessandro Circati, Mateusz Kowalski and Hernani are all expected to miss this game. Parma also have doubts over Romanian wingers Dennis Man and Valentin Mihaila.
Predicted Lineup: Suzuki (GK), Del Prato, Valenti, Vogliacco, Valeri, Sohm, Keita, Cancellieri, Haj, Almqvist & Djuric
Italy Serie A 10/05/25 L Empoli 2 Parma 1 Italy Serie A 03/05/25 L Como 1 Parma 0 Italy Serie A 28/04/25 D Lazio 2 Parma 2 Italy Serie A 23/04/25 W Juventus 0 Parma 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 D Fiorentina 0 Parma 0
