Parma will host Cagliari at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Friday in the Serie A, with the home side looking to continue their winning form and the visitors starting to feel the heat of a relegation battle.
The host dealt a major blow to AC Milan’s title charge with a 1-0 triumph at San Siro on Sunday, sealing a third straight league victory. That surge has opened up an eight-point gap between the Crusaders and the relegation zone.
Confidence is high within Carlos Cuesta’s squad, yet their home performances at Stadio Ennio Tardini have been inconsistent. Parma have managed just two wins from their last seven matches on their own turf.
However, a 2-1 victory over Hellas Verona in their latest outing on home soil offers hope of consecutive top-flight victories at the Tardini.
Meanwhile, Cagliari halted a two-game losing run with a 0-0 draw against Lazio last weekend. Despite that attacking drought, they remain five points clear of the bottom three, thanks largely to three consecutive wins just before this current winless spell.
Head coach Fabio Pisacane will be eager to steer clear of a relegation dogfight in his first senior managerial role. Encouragingly, Cagliari have been relatively resilient on their travels, avoiding defeat in three of their last five away games, suggesting they could still pose a threat.
Read our Parma vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
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Parma vs Cagliari prediction: Home team to get a narrow win
Key statistics
- Parma are unbeaten in their last three Serie A games.
- Cagliari have failed to win in their last three league matches.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the two sides' last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Parma 2-1 Cagliari
Parma are in a good run of form and we expect them to extend their winning streak by securing a narrow victory in this tie. We predict a 2-1 win for Parma based on their recent performances.
The Crusaders have become increasingly difficult to break down at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, and we believe Cagliari will find it difficult to get a win. While previous meetings between these two clubs have often been dominated by the visitors, we believe this clash will be different.
With Cagliari's poor form in their last three games, we are confident that the hosts will do enough to secure a narrow victory and claim all three points.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Parma favoured slightly
- Home: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- Away: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers have given Parma a slight edge in this encounter and are priced at 2.40 odds, giving them a 41.7% implied chance of securing victory on home soil. Cagliari’s odds are at 3.10, which represents a 32.3% probability of taking all three points away from home.
The draw stands at 3.00 odds, suggesting a 33.3% likelihood of the sides sharing the spoils in what is expected to be a closely contested matchup.
Most recent head-to-head: Cagliari dominate previous meetings
Looking at the recent history, these encounters have been remarkably dominated by the visitors. Over the last five meetings, the visitors have claimed four wins, while the hosts have only managed to get a draw.
In their most recent clash, Cagliari secured a 2-0 home victory, which followed a narrow 2-1 win. This history suggests that the visiting side have a strong record against the host.
Italy Serie A 13/09/25
Cagliari
Parma
Italy Serie A 09/02/25
Cagliari
Parma
Italy Serie A 30/09/24
Parma
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 03/06/23
Parma
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 30/05/23
Cagliari
Parma
After reviewing our key Parma vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Parma preview: Defensive boost as Circati returns
Alessandro Circati is back from suspension, handing Parma a timely reinforcement at the heart of defence, while long-term absentee Zion Suzuki has returned to training and could be named on the bench.
However, with Suzuki only just recovering from a serious hand injury that kept him sidelined for several months, Edoardo Corvi, who produced standout performances against Bologna and Milan, is expected to continue in goal.
Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Pontus Almqvist and Matija Frigan remain unavailable, limiting options in defence and attack, but there is better news up front, as leading scorer Mateo Pellegrino is fit and ready to spearhead the hosts’ frontline.
Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Circati, Troilo, Valenti, Del Prato, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri, Strefezza & Pellegrino
Last five fixtures
- 22.02.26 – AC Milan 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
- 15.02.26 – Parma 2–1 Verona (Serie A)
- 08.02.26 – Bologna 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
- 01.02.26 – Parma 1–4 Juventus (Serie A)
- 25.01.26 – Atalanta 4–0 Parma (Serie A)
Cagliari preview: Injury woes for the visitors
Coach Pisacane will likely turn to Juan Rodriguez to replace Colombian centre-back Mina, who is sidelined due to a one-match suspension.
Elsewhere, options are limited as Luca Mazzitelli limped off before half-time against Lazio with a calf injury and will join a growing list of absentees, including Alessandro Deiola, Gennaro Borrelli, Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici and Gianluca Gaetano.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Ze Pedro, Rodriguez, Dossena, Obert, Palestra, Adopo, Sulemana, Idrissi, Esposito & Kilicsoy
Last five fixtures
- 21.02.26 – Cagliari 0–0 Lazio (Serie A)
- 16.02.26 – Cagliari 0–2 Lecce (Serie A)
- 09.02.26 – AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari (Serie A)
- 31.01.26 – Cagliari 4–0 Verona (Serie A)
- 24.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari (Serie A)
Player to watch: Adrian Bernabe
Adrian Bernabe is one of Parma’s dangerous attacking outlets when playing at home this season. The midfielder has scored three goals this season, all in home games for the host.
With his team looking to extend their three-game unbeaten run in Serie A, he will play an important role in attack. He will be hoping to help his team get another win and also add a goal to his goal-scoring tally at home.