Atalanta welcome Parma to Bergamo on the final day of the Serie A season this Sunday. Our Atalanta vs Parma prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether the visitors can avoid relegation with a win at the Gewiss Stadium.
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Atalanta vs Parma prediction: Goals galore as Gialloblu seek great escape
Key stats
- Our Atalanta vs Parma betting tips take into account that 24 of the Gialloblu's Serie A matches this season have seen both teams score – a joint-high in the division.
- Atalanta have won 22 Serie A matches this season – the joint-highest in their top-flight history.
- Parma have won just one of their 18 Serie A away matches this season.
- Atalanta have won each of their last seven meetings with Parma in Serie A.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 4-2 Parma
The hosts are in fine form right now, winning three in a row, scoring nine goals in the process, and will already set a club record for points in a top-flight season regardless of what happens here.
Parma have struggled away from home, winning just once all season on the road, and even though they often find the net with regularity, this may be a tall order.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta the clear favourites
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are commanding favourites according to the odds with an implied probability of 57.1% that they will come out victorious in this end-of-season affair.
Atalanta are commonly involved in high-scoring affairs too, and with the visitors needing to win, it could be an open game, so over 3.5 goals being priced at 6/4 certainly appears generous.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Atalanta dominant
Our Atalanta vs Parma prediction suggests this game will follow the recent trends, with the side from Bergamo winning all of the last seven Serie A meetings.
They’ve scored no fewer than 24 goals across those matches, rattling in three in the reverse fixture back in November.
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Atalanta preview: Gasperini's men playing for pride
No matter what happens here, Atalanta will finish third, but they will seek to improve on their already record-breaking points tally on home soil to finish the campaign.
Berat Djimsiti is back from suspension, and Ademola Lookman should return after dropping to the bench last week, but there are many defenders absent for the hosts, including Rafael Toloi, Juan Cuadrado, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac and Stefan Posch.
Predicted Lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Djimsiti, De Roon, Bellanova, Sulemana, Ederson, Zappacosta, De Ketelaere, Retegui & Lookman
Italy Serie A 12/05/25 W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
Parma preview: Injury problems for the relegation-threatened visitors
Parma need to win to be sure of Serie A survival, as Lecce and Empoli could both overtake them if they fail to take maximum points here, potentially dropping them down to 18th.
Lautaro Valenti is back from suspension, but Romanian pair Valentin Mihaila and Dennis Man are among a long list of absentees, which also includes Matteo Cancellieri and Yordan Osorio.
Predicted Lineup: Suzuki (GK), Balogh, Leoni, Valenti, Del Prato, Ondrejka, Keita, Sohm, Valeri, Pellegrino & Bonny
Italy Serie A 10/05/25 L Empoli 2 Parma 1 Italy Serie A 03/05/25 L Como 1 Parma 0 Italy Serie A 28/04/25 D Lazio 2 Parma 2 Italy Serie A 23/04/25 W Juventus 0 Parma 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 D Fiorentina 0 Parma 0
Player to watch: Ademola Lookman
Transfer rumours suggest Lookman will be on his way out of Atalanta this summer, so this is set to be his farewell fixture in front of the Bergamaschi, and Gian Piero Gasperini should recall him after dropping the Nigerian to the bench a week ago.
Lookman has scored in both of his last two starts for La Dea, as well as in the reverse fixture with Parma earlier in the campaign, and his 15 goals this season ranks him third in the Serie A scoring charts.
