AC Milan vs Parma prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/01/2025

AC Milan take on Parma at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Italy’s Serie A on Sunday, 26 January. View our Serie A betting tips for the match below.

AC Milan vs Parma prediction: Rossoneri to triumph

Key Stats

• Six of AC Milan’s last seven home games in Serie A have featured under 2.5 goals.
• Each of Milan’s last four home wins have been complemented by clean sheets.
• Rafael Leao has scored in two of his last three appearances for Milan.
• Parma failed to score in each of their last three away assignments in Serie A.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 1-0 Parma

AC Milan scored just one goal in each of their last two home games in Serie A, though a single goal might be enough to see off a Parma side that has failed to score in three successive away matches.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AC Milan are odds-on favourites

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
• DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
• AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

AC Milan edged out Girona 1-0 in the Champions League in midweek and the Rossoneri have a 76.9% chance of recording another home win when they take on Parma.

Parma have won only once in seven attempts in Serie A and the strugglers are 13/2 underdogs ahead of a tough test at Milan on Sunday. Visit our latest football tips page for more free predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Milan out for revenge

AC Milan slipped to a surprise 2-1 loss at Parma in August, though they didn’t lose any iteration of this fixture since 2013 before that.

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

Parma

2

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 10/04/21

Parma

1

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 13/12/20

AC Milan

2

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 15/07/20

AC Milan

3

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 01/12/19

Parma

0

AC Milan

1

AC Milan preview: Morata free to feature

Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Malick Thiaw, Samuel Chukwueze and Alessandro Florenzi are injured though Alvaro Morata is free to play again following a ban. Emerson Royal came off after just four minutes against Girona in midweek and could be replaced by Davide Calabria.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Calabria, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Hernandez, Bennacer, Fofana, Musah, Reijnders, Leao, Morata

Italy Serie A 11/04/25

W

Udinese

0

AC Milan

4

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

Fiorentina

2

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 02/04/25

D

Inter Milan

1

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 30/03/25

L

Napoli

2

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

W

Como

1

AC Milan

2

Parma preview: Seven players could be out

Parma could be without Gabriel Charpentier, Mateusz Kowalski, Adrian Bernabe and Alessandro Circati on Sunday while Botond Balogh, Adrian Benedyczak and Yordan Osorio are rated as doubtful. Parma are down in 16th position in the Serie A table.

Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Delprato, Vogliacco, Valenti, Valeri, Keita, Sohm, Almqvist, Hernani, Mihaila, Cancellieri

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Fiorentina

0

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 05/04/25

D

Inter Milan

2

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 31/03/25

D

Verona

0

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

D

Monza

1

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 08/03/25

D

Torino

2

Parma

2

Player to watch – Rafael Leao

Enigmatic Portuguese forward Rafael Leao can be hit and miss, though the attacker is a match winner when he’s on song and the 25-year-old will be determined to shine on Sunday.

Leao could be a handful

Rafael Leao scored the game’s only goal when AC Mlian beat Giron 1-0 in the Champions League in midweek and the winger should carry plenty of confidence into Sunday’s game as a result.