Parma vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/11/2025
AC Milan players celebrating with Leao || Credit IMAGO / Gonzales Photo
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Over 3.5

Four of their last five meetings have ended in over 3.5 goals.

AC Milan will take a trip to the Stadio Ennio Tardini to face Parma in a Serie A clash on Saturday, as they look to get back to winning ways.

The Crociati have struggled to rack up wins in their last five games, with three losses and two draws. Their recent game saw them fail to get back to winning ways, having stumbled to a disappointing 3-1 loss against Bologna. 

On the other hand, the Rossoneri are enjoying a long unbeaten run in their last five games across all competitions. Their last five league matches include two wins and three draws, having got back to winning ways in a 1-0 home win against AS Roma.

Read our Parma vs AC Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.

Parma vs AC Milan prediction: Away team to return to winning ways

Key statistics

  • AC Milan have won by a 3-1 scoreline in two of their last five clashes. 
  • Over 3.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five games.
  • Their last five recent meetings have had BTTS.

Correct score prediction: Parma 1-3 AC Milan

Given the current form of AC Milan in their last five games, they will be looking to return to winning ways and we are tipping them to get a win in this fixture.

Parma’s struggles in front of goal, failing to score in three of their last five matches, make it difficult to see them getting a win against the Rossoneri.  AC Milan possesses superior attacking talent, and we predict a 1-3 scoreline based on their dominance in past meetings.

Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan made clear favourites

  • Home: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
  • Away: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.7% 

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The away side, AC Milan, enter the match as strong favourites at 1.62 odds, reflecting a 61.7% chance of victory according to the bookmakers. The draw is priced at 3.70 odds, suggesting a 27.0% probability, while Parma Calcio are the clear outsiders at 5.75 odds, translating to a 17.4% chance of success.

Most recent head-to-head: AC Milan's dominance in recent encounters 

The previous meetings between these two sides have heavily favoured the Rossoneri. Over the last five encounters, AC Milan has secured three victories, with Parma winning just one game and one ending in a draw. 

It is worth noting that goals are often a feature of this fixture, with four of the last five encounters having seen at least four goals scored. The most recent league match saw AC Milan win 3-2 in January 2025, while Parma’s sole win in this period was a 2-1 result in August 2024. 

Italy Serie A 26/01/25

AC Milan

AC Milan

3
Parma

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 24/08/24

Parma

Parma

2
AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 10/04/21

Parma

Parma

1
AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 13/12/20

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Parma

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 15/07/20

AC Milan

AC Milan

3
Parma

Parma

1

After reviewing our key Parma vs AC Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.


Parma preview: New injury concern for Conte

Parma faces a potentially long list of absentees, with Alessandro Circati and Nahuel Estevez both injured last week, adding to several existing absences. 

Emanuele Valeri, Matija Frigan and Gaetano Oristanio are all expected to be unavailable, as are the Swedish wingers Pontus Almqvist and Jacob Ondrejka. Also, Ordonez will be out due to suspension.

Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Delprato, Valenti, Ndiaye, Britschgi, Hernani, Keita, Sorensen, Bernabe, Pellegrino & Cutrone

Last five fixtures

  • 02.11.25 – Parma 1 – 3 Bologna
  • 29.10.25 – AS Roma 2 – 1 Parma
  • 25.10.25 – Parma 0 – 0 Como
  • 19.10.25 – Genoa 0 – 0 Parma
  • 04.10.25 – Parma 0 – 1 Lecce

AC Milan preview: Multiple injuries in the team

Christian Pulisic, who has been a key figure in Milan's attack for the last few seasons, is poised to make his return this week and could potentially feature in the starting lineup alongside Rafael Leao. In terms of other squad updates, Fikayo Tomori is expected to be fit after recovering from a knee injury. Consequently, the only players set to be sidelined are Santiago Gimenez and Adrien Rabiot.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Ricci, Bartesaghi, Pulisic & Leao

Last five fixtures

  • 02.11.25 – AC Milan 1 – 0 AS Roma
  • 28.10.25 – Atalanta 1 – 1 AC Milan
  • 24.10.25 – AC Milan 2 – 2 Pisa
  • 19.10.25 – AC Milan 2 – 1 Fiorentina
  • 05.10.25 – Juventus 0 – 0 AC Milan

Player to watch: Rafael Leao

Since Rafael Leao's return from injury, the forward has been instrumental in their run of games. The Portuguese international is the most consistent goal threat for the Rossoneri and possesses the quality needed to get past Parma's defence. 

Leao cleabrating his AC Milan goal || Credit || IMAGO / ABACAPRESS
Leao cleabrating his AC Milan goal || Credit || IMAGO / ABACAPRESS

He has scored three goals and provided one assist in his last five Serie A appearances for the club. His influence will play a key role in his team's success as they prepare to face Parma this weekend.


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