Parma Calcio vs Hellas Verona prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/02/2026
Hellas Verona player fighting for the ball || Credit IMAGO / NurPhoto
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Over 4.5 cards

Two of their last five meetings have had over 4.5 cards received.

Parma will welcome Hellas Verona to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Sunday afternoon for a crucial Serie A encounter that could have significant implications for the bottom half of the table. 

The Gialloblu ended a frustrating run in dramatic fashion last weekend, snatching a 95th-minute winner to edge Bologna 1–0 in the Derby dell’Emilia and secure their first victory in five outings. 

That result has given the Crusaders an eight-point buffer over the relegation zone heading into this round, offering a measure of comfort, though consistency remains elusive. 

Carlos Cuesta’s men have won just one of their last 10 home league matches, drawing blanks in six of them, suggesting confidence on their own turf is still fragile.

Verona, meanwhile, remain rooted to the foot of the table after a goalless draw with fellow strugglers Pisa last Friday. That stalemate followed consecutive defeats and stretched their winless league run to nine matches. 

Interim boss Paolo Sammarco faces a significant task in tightening things up at both ends, particularly as his side have failed to score in three of their last four away games.

Read our Parma Calcio vs Hellas Verona predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Serie A predictions.

Parma Calcio vs Hellas Verona prediction: Expect a draw

Key statistics

  • Two of their last five head-to-head meetings have produced over 4.5 cards.
  • Both teams have played a full-time draw twice in their last five Serie A games.
  • Parma have scored at least a goal in four of their last five meetings with Verona.

Correct score prediction: Parma 1-1 Verona

We anticipate that the home side will edge out a victory in what should be a closely-contested affair at the Tardini. We predict a 1-1 draw given their poor form over their last five games.

While both teams have conceded goals recently, they have often found the back of the net in their previous meetings, and we expect a similar outcome here. 

Pre-match odds and win probability: Parma narrowly favoured to win

  • Home: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
  • Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • Away: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Parma are slight favourites heading into this clash, with odds of 2.38 implying a 42.1% probability of a home victory. That suggests bookmakers see a modest edge for the hosts, likely reflecting home advantage.

Hellas Verona are priced at 3.25, which translates to a 30.8% chance of an away win, while the draw stands at 3.00 (33.3%), underlining expectations of a competitive encounter. Overall, the market points towards a fairly balanced matchup, though Parma hold a small advantage on paper.

Most recent head-to-head: Very tight record 

Looking at the last five recent meetings between these two sides, the record suggests a fairly balanced record. Neither team has managed to dominate completely, having secured two wins each and one draw.

In their most recent encounter in November 2025, Parma emerged as 2-1 winners away from home. Prior to that, the sides played out a goalless draw in March 2025, while Verona claimed a narrow 3-2 victory in December 2024 at the Tardini. 

Italy Serie A 23/11/25

Verona

Verona

1
Parma

Parma

2

Italy Serie A 31/03/25

Verona

Verona

0
Parma

Parma

0

Italy Serie A 15/12/24

Parma

Parma

2
Verona

Verona

3

Italy Serie A 15/02/21

Verona

Verona

2
Parma

Parma

1

Italy Serie A 04/10/20

Parma

Parma

1
Verona

Verona

0

After reviewing our key Parma Calcio vs Hellas Verona predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Parma Calcio preview: Absentees and suspension issues

Parma will be without a significant portion of their squad for this clash. Injuries rule out Zion Suzuki, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Lautaro Valenti, Nahuel Estevez, Pontus Almqvist, and Matija Frigan, while Mariano Troilo serves a suspension.

Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Del Prato, Drobnic, Circati, Britschgi, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri, Oristanio & Pellegrino

Last five fixtures

  • 08.02.26 – Bologna 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
  • 01.02.26 – Parma 1–4 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 25.01.26 – Atalanta 4–0 Parma (Serie A)
  • 18.01.26 – Parma 0–0 Genoa (Serie A)
  • 14.01.26 – Napoli 0–0 Parma (Serie A)

Hellas Verona preview: Injury concerns ahead of the trip

The visitors are missing Roberto Gagliardini, Nicolas Valentini, Antoine Bernede, and Tomas Suslov through injury, limiting their options across midfield and defence.

Predicted lineup: Montipo (GK), Slotsager, Nelsson, Edmundsson, Niasse, Serdar, Al Musrati, Lovric, Frese, Bowie & Orban

Last five fixtures

  • 06.02.26 – Verona 0–0 Pisa (Serie A)
  • 31.01.26 – Cagliari 4–0 Verona (Serie A)
  • 26.01.26 – Verona 1–3 Udinese (Serie A)
  • 19.01.26 – Cremonese 0–0 Verona (Serie A)
  • 15.01.26 – Verona 2–3 Bologna (Serie A)

Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino

Mateo Pellegrino is the standout player to monitor for the home side in this game because he has been the primary source of goals for Cuesta. The forward has found the net six times this season. 

Mateo Pellegrino celebrating || Credit - IMAGO / ABACAPRESS
Mateo Pellegrino celebrating || Credit – IMAGO / ABACAPRESS

Despite not scoring in his last five games, he possesses excellent movement and a clinical finish, which will likely expose a makeshift Verona defence that has conceded 10 goals in their last five league games.

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