AS Monaco travel to the French capital needing to overturn their UEFA Champions League first-leg playoff deficit against a confident Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes on Tuesday, 24 February.
Keep close tabs on UEFA Champions League predictions after viewing our key Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco tips below.
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco prediction: Parisians progress at Monaco’s expense
Key stats
- PSG have kept the most home clean sheets in Europe’s top-five leagues.
- The Parisians have won eight of their last 10 UCL knockout matches (L2).
- Monaco have conceded nine goals across their last two away UCL games.
- The Monegasques are winless in 10 of their last 12 UCL fixtures (D5 L5).
Correct score prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain returned to Ligue 1 proceedings with a 3-0 win over Metz, days after edging out the visitors in the first leg last week. Desire Doue came off the bench to replace Ousmane Dembele and ended up propelling his side to a 3-2 comeback victory at Stade Louis II. Back on top of the league table, Luis Enrique’s men will look to finish their February on a high note.
After their loss in the first leg, Monaco turned things around in the league, They beat Ligue 1 title contenders Lens by overturning a two-goal deficit themselves, allowing PSG to climb back on top. Les Monegasques’ sights is now firmly set on eliminating the reigning champions from the Champions League.
Parc des Princes has proven a difficult venue for visiting teams. While PSG have made it their fortress, Monaco have been poor away from home across all competitions this term.
A victory for the Parisians is the most probable outcome in only their second-ever European H2H, as Monaco possess a 100% elimination rate after losing the first leg in seven straight European knockout ties over the years.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No doubts here
- HOME: 2/7 (1.28) – 77.7%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
PSG have reached the knockout stages in each of the last 14 UCL campaigns. They are strong favourites to advance this time as well. They are assigned odds of 2/7 (1.28), implying a 77.7% chance of success.
Monaco’s 3-2 win over Lens was their first competitive away victory in five trips (D2, L2). The team last lost 6-1 at Real Madrid in the league phase, and are underdogs in this playoff second leg tie. They are backed by odds of 7/1 (8.00). This suggests a 12.5% win probability rate.
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Most recent H2Hs: Parisians with the edge
PSG have won five of their last seven competitive meetings with Monaco, including the first leg triumph last week. Monaco's only victory in that span came in Ligue 1 this term, back in late November 2025.
UEFA Champions League 17/02/26
Monaco
PSG
France Ligue 1 29/11/25
Monaco
PSG
France Ligue 1 07/02/25
PSG
Monaco
France Super Cup 05/01/25
PSG
Monaco
France Ligue 1 18/12/24
Monaco
PSG
PSG preview: Four sidelined
Aside from Senny Mayulu, Fabian Ruiz and Quentin Ndjantou, Ousmane Dembele is also sidelined for this encounter after picking up a knock in the first leg.
Predicted lineup: Safonov (GK), Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery, Neves, Doue, Ramos & Kvaratskhelia
Last five matches:
- 21/02/26: PSG 3-0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- 17/02/26: Monaco 2-3 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
- 13/02/26: Rennes 3-1 PSG (Ligue 1)
- 08/02/26: PSG 5-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG (Ligue 1)
Monaco preview: 10 players absent
Aleksandr Golovin received an early second-half red card in the first leg. Nine other injuries plague Monaco, including Krepin Diatta, Takumi Minamino, Mohammed Salisu, Lukas Hradecky and Christian Mawissa.
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Faes, Vanderson, Teze, Henrique, Camara, Zakaria, Biereth, Coulibaly, Balogun & Adingra
Last five matches:
- 21/02/26: Lens 2-3 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- 17/02/26: Monaco 2-3 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
- 13/02/26: Monaco 3-1 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- 08/02/26: Nice 0-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- 05/02/26: Strasbourg 3-1 Monaco (Coupe de France)
Player to watch: Desire Doue
Doue’s took the Man of the Match award home when these sides met last week. The Frenchman’s brace helped revive PSG from a two-goal deficit and ultimately claim victory. He will look to replicate his display at Parc des Princes, where he opened the scoring inside the opening five minutes in their latest 3-0 win over Metz.