Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/03/2026
Luis Enrique, head coach of PSG - photo by IMAGO / Sportimage
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Total cards: Under 4.5

Seven of the last nine meetings between these sides have produced fewer than 4.5 cards.

Paris Saint-Germain will look to maintain their impressive form when they take on Monaco in Ligue 1 at the Parc des Princes on Friday.

View our Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco predictions below.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco preview: Goals expected

Key stats

  • PSG are undefeated in their last four matches.
  • Monaco are unbeaten in their last three matches.
  • PSG have not kept a clean sheet against Monaco in their last four meetings.

Correct score prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 2-2 Monaco

The two sides are meeting for the third time in less than a month. The Parisians won the first encounter 3–2 away from home and later played out a 2–2 draw at home in the Champions League.

Luis Enrique’s side sit top of the Ligue 1 table with 57 points from 24 matches and have lost only once in their last nine games. They head into this fixture on the back of a narrow 1–0 victory over Le Havre and will be looking to maintain their winning momentum.

Monaco, meanwhile, sit seventh in the league table with 37 points from 24 matches. They have lost only once in their last six games and enter this contest following a 2–0 victory over Angers.

Six of PSG’s last seven matches have produced over 2.5 goals. Similarly, at least three goals have been scored in four of Monaco’s last five games. Les Monegasques delivered strong performances against PSG across both legs in the Champions League, and we expect an entertaining, high-scoring contest, with the visitors capable of earning a respectable draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG strong favourites

  • HOME: 3/10 (1.3) – 76.9%
  • DRAW: 5/1 (6.0) – 16.7%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.5) – 13.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

PSG have opened up a four-point lead over Lens at the top of the table and boast an outstanding home record, winning 10 and drawing once in Ligue 1 this season.

Ahead of this fixture, they are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.3), implying a 76.9% probability of victory.

Monaco have scored first in four of their last five matches and are backed to do so again at 5/2 (3.5), representing a 28.6% chance.

It is also worth noting that both teams have scored in four of Monaco’s last five matches, making BTTS – Yes at 4/7 (1.57) an appealing option.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Historic rivalry

Monaco have won 18 times in the league compared to PSG’s 14, while 17 matches have ended in draws.

Earlier this season, Monaco secured a 1–0 home victory over PSG. However, they have not won at the Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 since February 2021.

UEFA Champions League 25/02/26

PSG

PSG

2
Monaco

Monaco

2

UEFA Champions League 17/02/26

Monaco

Monaco

2
PSG

PSG

3

France Ligue 1 29/11/25

Monaco

Monaco

1
PSG

PSG

0

France Ligue 1 07/02/25

PSG

PSG

4
Monaco

Monaco

1

France Super Cup 05/01/25

PSG

PSG

1
Monaco

Monaco

0

Paris Saint-Germain preview: Impressive home form to continue?

Les Parisiens have kept three clean sheets in their last four Ligue 1 matches and are unbeaten in their last six home meetings with Monaco.

Senny Mayulu and Ousmane Dembele are struggling with calf issues, while Fabian Ruiz is sidelined with a knee problem. Joao Neves and Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha are also doubtful due to their respective injury concerns.

Predicted lineup: Safonov (GK), Hakimi, Zabarnyi, Pacho, Mendes, Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Fernandez, Doue, Ramos & Barcola

Last five matches

  • 28/02/26: Le Havre 0-1 PSG (Ligue 1)
  • 25/02/26: PSG 2-2 Monaco (UEFA Champions League) [PSG advanced 5-4 on aggregate]
  • 21/02/26: PSG 3-0 Metz (Ligue 1)
  • 17/02/26: Monaco 2-3 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
  • 13/02/26: Rennes 3-1 PSG (Ligue 1)

Monaco preview: Picking up form at the right time

Despite another disappointing European campaign, Monaco have shown signs of returning to form, as they are unbeaten in their last six Ligue 1 matches, winning the last three.

If they continue to produce strong results in the league, a place in European competition next season is highly achievable.

The Principality club are dealing with several injury concerns, with Mohammed Salisu, Takumi Minamino, Paul Pogba and Lukas Hradecky all struggling with knee problems, while Eric Dier is sidelined with a hamstring issue.

Kassoum Ouattara is recovering from a calf strain, and Krepin Diatta is sidelined with a thigh problem.

Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Kehrer, Zakaria, Faes, Vanderson, Teze, Camara, Henrique, Akliouche, Golovin & Balogun

Last five matches

  • 28/02/26: Angers 0-2 Monaco (Ligue 1)
  • 25/02/26: PSG 2-2 Monaco (UEFA Champions League – Monaco eliminated 5-4 on aggregate)
  • 21/02/26: RC Lens 2-3 Monaco (Ligue 1)
  • 17/02/26: Monaco 2-3 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
  • 13/02/26: Monaco 3-1 Nantes (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Bradley Barcola

The French winger is once again enjoying a fantastic campaign for PSG, having already scored nine goals in Ligue 1.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Monaco
Bradley Barcola in action for PSG – photo by IMAGO / PRESSE SPORTS

The 23-year-old has found the net in back-to-back league matches and will be aiming to get on the scoresheet against Monaco as well.


Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.