Kuwait’s Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium awaits a blockbuster showdown, as French football’s hottest derby kicks off between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille in the Trophee des Champions, a.k.a French Super Cup final, on Thursday, 8 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille tips below.
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille prediction: Le Classique to lean PSG's way
Key stats
- PSG are on a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions (W5, D1).
- The hosts have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 12 Super Cup appearances.
- Only one of Marseille’s last five games saw both teams score.
- The visitors have lost four of their last 10 competitive visits away from home.
Correct score prediction: PSG 2-2 Marseille (PSG to win on penalties)
On the back of beating nearest rivals Paris FC 2-1 at Parc des Princes, PSG return to the Middle East, where they recently won the Intercontinental Cup, but this time to Kuwait, where bitter adversaries Marseille await. Impressively, Trophee des Champions will be the French title-holders' fifth competition in the space of six fixtures.
Marseille haven’t had the best start to 2026, as Nantes comfortably beat them 2-0 at Stade Velodrome in their last outing. Roberto De Zerbi’s men play this final as a result of their runners-up finish last season in Ligue 1 – a fate similar to their current third position, seven points adrift of PSG.
PSG are clearly the favourites in this derby matchup, although Marseille are expected to take the match to the sword. An extra-time affair is ruled out due to the competition's regulations, and hence a penalty shootout could be the deciding factor in Kuwait City.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No doubts here
- HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.7%
- DRAW: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
PSG have won 11 of their 12 previous appearances in the final of the Super Cup, and are undoubtedly the favourites to win their second trophy of the campaign. Bookmakers have priced their odds of victory at 4/7 (1.57), a 63.9% probability of success.
Marseille are eyeing consecutive victories over PSG for the first time since 2011, having beaten them narrowly at the Velodrome early in the Ligue 1 season. Les Olympiens are assigned odds of 4/1 (5.00) – indicating a win probability rate of 20% for the southerners.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Who will claim the bragging rights?
There have been no draws between PSG and Marseille in nine competitive fixtures, with the former winning five of their last six H2Hs. Marseille’s only recent Le Classique triumph came in September last year, when they met early in the Ligue 1 season.
France Ligue 1 22/09/25
Marseille
PSG
France Ligue 1 21/09/25
Marseille
PSG
France Ligue 1 16/03/25
PSG
Marseille
France Ligue 1 27/10/24
Marseille
PSG
France Ligue 1 31/03/24
Marseille
PSG
PSG preview: Another Super Cup in their collection?
Achraf Hakimi and Ibrahim Mbaye are out on international duty at AFCON, while Matvey Safanov, Lee Kang-in, Quentin Ndjantou and Martin James are confirmed absentees.
Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Hernandez, Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves, Ramos, Barcola & Dembele
Last five matches:
- PSG 2-1 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
- Fontenay 0-4 PSG (Coupe de France)
- PSG 1-1 Flamengo (2-1 on penalties) (Intercontinental Cup)
- Metz 2-3 PSG (Ligue 1)
- Athletic Bilbao 0-0 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
Marseille preview: Second successive H2H derby win?
Nayef Aguerd is busy at AFCON, while Arthur Vermeeren is also questionable to appear.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Pavard, Balerdi, Medina, Weah, O’Riley, Nadir, Palmieri, Greenwood, Paixao & Aubameyang
Last five matches:
- Marseille 0-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Bourg en Bresse 0-6 Marseille (Coupe de France)
- Marseille 1-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Royale Union SG 2-3 Marseille (UEFA Champions League)
- Lille 1-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Ousmane Dembele
The 2025 Ballon d’Or winner is in hot form, having been instrumental in both of PSG’s recent wins. He registered a goal and an assist against Fontenay last month, before netting the winner in the Parisian derby against Paris FC. The Frenchman also has the honour of striking the stoppage-time winner in last season’s 1-0 Trophee des Champions victory over Monaco.