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Liverpool will have to put a 4-0 thrashing by Manchester City quickly behind them when they travel to the Parc des Princes for the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final with Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday night.
Indeed, the Reds' first game back after the international break was an unpleasant one, as they crashed out of the FA Cup quarter-finals.
Meanwhile, PSG were 3-1 winners at home to Toulouse and are well on course to secure yet another Ligue 1 title.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our Today's betting tips page for more of our Champions League predictions!
Contents
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Liverpool key stats
- PSG have won four successive games in all competitions.
- Liverpool have lost their last two matches across all competitions.
- PSG knocked Liverpool out of the Champions League last season.
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Liverpool preview: PSG to take first-leg lead?
| PSG | vs | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 1st (Ligue 1) | Position | 5th (Premier League) |
| 63 | Points | 49 |
| 61 | Goals For | 50 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 2nd | Home Rank | 6th |
| 1st | Away Rank | 8th |
PSG almost have another Ligue 1 title wrapped up after they won and nearest challengers Lens lost last time out.
They have now opened up a four-point gap at the top, and still have a game in hand.
Over 3.5 goals has come through in five of PSG's last six home games.
In the Champions League, they demolished Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the last 16 and have started to find their groove again.
The holders will not fear Liverpool, especially after knocking them out of the competition last season.
The Reds were a much better team then, and PSG needed penalties to beat them after drawing 1-1 over two legs.
However, the Premier League holders are enduring a difficult campaign this time around, and the Champions League now presents their only chance of winning silverware.
Liverpool have lost their previous three away matches.
Having crashed out of the FA Cup, there is now huge pressure on the Reds, and they are not guaranteed to qualify for Europe's elite competition next season via the league.
Thus, they will be desperate to get a positive result against PSG here, but it could prove to be another step too far.
Paris Saint-Germain vs. Liverpool form guide & betting tips
| PSG | vs | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| L-W-W-W-W | Form | L-D-W-L-L |
| 16 | Goals For | 6 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 8 |
| D-W-W | Champions League form | W-L-W |
Whispers predicts: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Liverpool
PSG are 4/5 favourites with bookmakers to win, but we would like to explore better value in the markets.
Combining PSG to win & BTTS - Yes at 19/10 gives us that value, as Liverpool's blank at City was the first time they failed to score in four games.
Over 3.5 goals at 5/4 is also appealing given it has come through in four of PSG's last five matches.
Our final pick leads us to the goalscorers market, and in particular Ousmane Dembele.
He scored a brace against Toulouse last time out, and also netted against Liverpool last season, so Dembele to score anytime at 6/5 is worth backing in our eyes.
Overall, we believe PSG will take a healthy lead into the second leg, and our 3-1 prediction is available at 11/1 with bookmakers.
> Dembele to score anytime at 6/5 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 3.5 goals at 5/4 | Likelihood: Probable
> PSG to win & BTTS - Yes at 19/10 | Likelihood: Possible