Argentina’s latest World Cup qualifier takes them to Asuncion this week. Our Paraguay vs Argentina prediction considers whether the hosts can cause an upset.
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Paraguay vs Argentina prediction: Low-scoring draw with Alvarez netting last
Key stats
- Our Paraguay vs Argentina betting tips take into account that hosts have let in just two goals in five matches in front of their own fans in this campaign.
- Argentina have taken just one point from their last two away World Cup qualifiers.
- They’ve scored exactly once in five of their last nine internationals.
Correct score prediction: Paraguay 1-1 Argentina
Argentina have been almost faultless in international football over the past few years, but they have suffered a slight dip in form on the road so far this season.
They’ve dropped points in Colombia and Venezuela, which suggests they won’t have this all their own way against a competitive Paraguay side, that is in pretty good form.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors the clear favourites
- HOME: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the clear favourites according to the Paraguay vs Argentina odds with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win this match.
They head into this having thumped Bolivia 6-0 at home in their last match, with Leo Messi scoring a hat-trick.
Paraguay were also winners last time out. They defeated Venezuela 2-1 with Antonio Sanabria scoring both goals.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America and beyond, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm
Our Paraguay vs Argentina prediction suggests this will be a tight affair and that has tended to be the way of things, with three of the last five meetings ending level.
All of the last seven clashes between these sides have ended with two or fewer goals.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/23
Argentina
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21
Paraguay
Argentina
Copa America 22/06/21
Argentina
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/20
Argentina
Paraguay
Copa America 20/06/19
Argentina
Paraguay
Paraguay preview: No major problems for the hosts
There have been no injury withdrawals from the initial Paraguay squad, so we may not see many changes from the eleven that faced Venezuela, although super sub Sanabria is pushing for a start.
Predicted Lineup: Coronel (GK), Fernandez, G. Gomez, Alonso, Alderete, Cubas, D. Gomez, Caceres, Enciso, Almiron & Sanabria
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
D Colombia 2 Paraguay 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25
W Chile 0 Paraguay 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24
D Bolivia 2 Paraguay 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
W Argentina 1 Paraguay 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
W Venezuela 1 Paraguay 2
Argentina preview: Dybala misses out again
Roma’s Paulo Dybala is again missing from the Argentina squad due to injury. Aston Villa’s Enzo Barrenechea, currently on loan at Valencia, is included for the first time.
Predicted Lineup: E. Martinez (GK), Tagliafico, Otamendi, L. Martinez, Romero, Mac Allister, Fernandez, De Paul, Molina, Messi & Alvarez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W Brazil 1 Argentina 4 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W Uruguay 0 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
W Peru 0 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
L Paraguay 2 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W Bolivia 0 Argentina 6
Player to watch – Julian Alvarez
Atletico Madrid’s Julian Alvarez has been a key part of Argentina’s success on the international stage in recent years. He has netted seven times in 18 appearances so far for his new club.
Alvarez scoring late
The former Man City forward is in the habit of scoring late goals right now. Four of his seven club goals this term have come after the 75th minute.