Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/07/2024
Palmeiras have been picking up plenty of points at home this season - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Palmeiras to win

Palmeiras have won each of their last six home matches in Serie A.

Palmeiras welcome Cruzeiro at the Allianz Parque in Sao Paulo to contest a Serie A fixture on Sunday, 21 July. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction: Hosts to bounce back

Key Stats

  • Palmeiras have won 100% of their last six home games in Serie A.
  • Palmeiras notched exactly twice in four of their last six home tussles in the division.
  • Cruzeiro were beaten in three of their last four away matches in the league.
  • Cruzeiro managed to score in three of their last four tests on the road.

Correct score prediction: Palmeiras 2-1 Cruzeiro

Palmeiras have a perfect record at home so far this term and they have generally been scoring their goals at the Allianz Parque in twos. Cruzeiro meanwhile, notched a single goal in two of their last four away assignments and they have just about enough quality in attack to squeeze another consolation effort out of their trip to Sao Paulo.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cruzeiro given little chance

  • HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Palmeiras were pipped to the points by title rivals Botafogo (0-1) last time out, though they return to their own patch this weekend where they have won six games out of six. With that record a factor, it’s no surprise to see them listed as 13/20 favourites to beat Cruzeiro. The visitors are in 6th spot, however, they have lost three times in their last four away games and they have just a 20% chance of upsetting the odds here. If you’re on the lookout for more Brazilian football predictions, check out our betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Palmeiras

Palmeiras have won four of their last five encounters with Cruzeiro and they haven’t lost an iteration of this fixture since September 2018.

Brazil Serie A 07/12/23

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Brazil Serie A 14/08/23

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Brazil Serie A 08/12/19

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Brazil Serie A 14/09/19

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Brazil Serie A 30/09/18

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

3
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1

Palmeiras preview: Hosts could be missing three players

Lazaro and Bruno Rodrigues are both out of action through injury for Palmeiras while Richard Rios could be back in the fold following a short absence. Palmeiras are still in second place despite their loss to leaders Botafogo in midweek.

Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Rocha, Gomez, Murilo, Piquerez, Moreno, Menino, Estevao, Veiga, Rony, Lopez

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

W

Cerro Porteno

Cerro Porteno

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

W

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Copa do Brasil 30/04/25

W

Ceara

Ceara

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

L

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Cruzeiro preview: Trio of confirmed absentees

Cruzeiro will be without the services of injured trio Marlon, Rafael Silva and Juan Dinenno this weekend while Walace is also a slight doubt. Head Coach Fernando Seabra could stick with the same XI that beat RB Bragantino 2-1 last time out.

Predicted lineup: Cassio (GK), William, Ze Ivaldo, Macelo, Kaiki, Silva, Romero, Barreal, Veron, Gomes, Pereira

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

0

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

4

Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25

D

Mushuc Runa

Mushuc Runa

1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

W

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Copa do Brasil 02/05/25

W

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

0

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

W

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1

Player to watch – Raphael Veiga

Attacking midfielder and key creative conduit Raphael Veiga is an established first-team staple for Palmeiras and the 29-year-old’s ability to open up defences with his passing range has been a key tenet of their gameplan this term.

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro prediction
Veiga brings plenty of creativity to midfield for Palmeiras – Photo by Icon Sport

Veiga to pull the strings again?

Veiga has already lodged three assists in Serie A this season, though his club-high average of 2.80 key passes per game suggests he should have had even more assists in the division and the schemer’s distribution could produce more opportunities for his teammates this weekend.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.