Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction, odds & betting tips 02/07/2024

🔥 Our Hot tip

Palmeiras to score first

Palmeiras drew first blood in five of the last seven clashes between these outfits

Sparks will fly as the biggest teams in Sao Paulo go head-to-head for the 380th time. View our free Palmeiras vs Corinthians predictions below.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils

Key stats

  • These are two of the top 3 most successful teams in Brazil.
  • Known as the Paulista derby, there have been 379 previous skirmishes between these teams, making it one of the biggest rivalries in the World.
  • While Corinthians are on a six-match winless streak, Palmeiras won five of their last six games.
  • Palmeiras opened the scoring in five of their last six games, while Corinthians conceded first in five of their last six matches.

Correct score prediction: Palmeiras 2-1 Corinthians

Three of Palmeiras’ last six victories were by the same scoreline. This was also the exact result in two of Corinthians' last four trips to this stadium.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Palmeiras are clear favourites

  • Palmeiras: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • Draw: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • Corinthians: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

This has not been a particularly enjoyable season for Corinthians. They are currently 18th on the 20-team table, with just one win in 12 league matches. In contrast, Palmeiras are fourth, just a point behind league leaders Flamengo at the time of writing.

Keeping that in mind, it's no surprise that Palmeiras are the expected winners at 4/9 (1.44). Teams with these odds generally have a 69.2% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Palmeiras vs Corinthians predictions.

Additionally, six of the last eight encounters between these teams featured at least three goals. On that note, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 17/20 (1.85). That one has a 54.1% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Corinthians’ woes to continue?

We've established that these teams clashed 379 times in the past. As it stands, Palmeiras won 134 of those encounters, with 116 draws and 129 losses. That said, Corinthians are without a win in the last seven meetings between these outfits (D3, L4).

Brazil Campeonato Paulista 18/02/24

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2
Corinthians

Corinthians

2

Brazil Serie A 03/09/23

Corinthians

Corinthians

0
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Brazil Serie A 29/04/23

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2
Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Campeonato Paulista 17/02/23

Corinthians

Corinthians

2
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Brazil Serie A 13/08/22

Corinthians

Corinthians

0
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Team news and form guide

Palmeiras: Looking to bounce back from last week's humiliating defeat

Anibal Moreno and Rony have accumulated maximum yellow cards, and are suspended for this clash. Bruno Rodrigues, Romulo and Lazaro are in the recovery room, while Endrick, Ricardo Rios and Gustavo Gomez are away on international duty.

Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Rocha, Naves, Murilo, Piquerez, Fabinho, Rafael, Estevão, Veiga, Menino & López.

Brazil Serie A 25/07/24

L

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

3

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Corinthians: Hoping to halt their rotting streak

Corinthians will have to do without Carlos Miguel, Diego Palacios, Pedro Henrique and Fagner, as these players are sidelined with injuries. Meanwhile, Felix Torres and Angel Romero are away at the Copa America.

Predicted lineup: Donelli (GK), Hugo, Caetano, Cacá, Mana, Raniele, Bidon, Wesley, Garro, Coronado & Alberto.

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Corinthians

Corinthians

1

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Corinthians

Corinthians

2

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

L

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

3

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Corinthians

Corinthians

3

Player to watch: Raphael Veiga

Palmeiras vs Corinthians predictions
Raphael Veiga has eight direct goal involvements in his last nine meetings with Corinthians. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Raphael Veiga has been a thorn in Corinthians' flesh in recent years. He has eight goal involvements in the last nine encounters between these sides, scoring three times with five assists. The 29-year-old midfielder also bagged a goal and an assist in his last three appearances for Palmeiras.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives