Palmeiras and Bahia will meet in the next round of the Brazilian Serie A on Sunday, 7 July.
With these teams tied in points near the very top, who will emerge victorious from this important duel? Find that out and more from our Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction, but remember to check our other Serie A betting tips as well.
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Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction: Confident win for the hosts
Key stats
- Bahia have only won once in seven away games in the league this season.
- The last three H2H duels between these teams have all gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Vasco da Gama have conceded at least two goals in five of their six away games this season in Serie A.
Correct score prediction: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
With Palmeiras hosting the game and them beating Bahia at home last two times they met without conceding, we can see the final score being 2-0 for the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Palmeiras backed by the bookies
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.90%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
- AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.20%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Palmeiras vs Bahia odds that hosts are the expected winners and that is understandable since they are the defending champions of Brazil.
However, Palmeiras and Bahia enter their upcoming duel tied in points and in similar forms, which is why this duel can be closer than anticipated based just on the team's strength on paper.
In any case, if you like our predictions for this game, don't forget to also check out our favourite betting tips for today.
Last five H2Hs: Palmeiras with an advantage lately
With three wins over Bahia in their last five duels, along with one draw and one loss, Palmeiras have clearly been the better team of the two recently. Meanwhile, things are even more in Palmeiras' favour if we consider their overall H2H record with Bahia: 12-11-3.
Brazil Serie A 28/10/23
Palmeiras
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A 22/06/23
EC Bahia
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 13/10/21
EC Bahia
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 28/06/21
Palmeiras
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A 12/12/20
Palmeiras
EC Bahia
Palmeiras preview: Hoping to close the distance in the title race
As the reigning champions of Serie A, Palmeiras were expected to fight for another title and they are currently close to the top. Right now, they are third in the standings and just three points behind league leaders Flamengo, so a win over Bahia would put them right behind their fierce rivals.
When it comes to team news, Richard Rios is still at Copa America, while Raphael Veiga is suspended for this match. Also, Murilo Cerqueira, Lazaro, and Bruno Rodrigues are out with injuries at this time.
Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Rocha, Reis, Naves, Piquerez, Fabinho, Ze Rafael, Jhon, Estevao, Lopez & Rony
Brazil Serie A 28/09/24
W
Atletico Mineiro
1
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
W
Vasco da Gama
0
Palmeiras
1
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Criciuma
0
Palmeiras
5
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
W
Athletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 24/08/24
W
Cuiaba
0
Palmeiras
5
Bahia preview: Trying to keep up with the big boys
After 14 rounds in this Serie A season, Bahia are tied with Botafogo, Sao Paulo, and their next opponent Palmeiras for the second place. So, at the moment, we can say that they are in the title race, which is impressive for a team of their stature. However, it's still early in the season and it remains to be seen whether Bahia can keep this up.
Meanwhile, Santiago Arias remains with Colombia at Copa America, while Nicolas Acevedo is injured and out of contention.
Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Junior, Xavier, Kanu, Juba, Ribeiro, Alexandre, Cauly, Lucas, Everaldo & Thaciano
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
W
Criciuma
0
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
L
Fortaleza
4
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Atletico Mineiro
0
EC Bahia
3
Copa do Brasil 13/09/24
L
Flamengo
1
EC Bahia
0
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
L
Bragantino
2
EC Bahia
1
Player to watch: Estevao
With four goals and two assists in Serie A this season, the 18-year-old striker has been in good form and the teenager has impressed more than his highly-touted teammate Endrick, who is already bound for Real Madrid.
Will Estevao score in the second half again?
Since all four of Estevao's goals in the league this season came in the second halves of matches, will we see that happen again in the team's upcoming duel with Bahia?
