Estadio El Sadar will host Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano on Sunday, 14 September 2025, as both teams battle for supremacy in the fourth round of La Liga.
View our free Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano predictions below.
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Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano predictions: A card fest
Key stats
- At least five cards were awarded in each of the last five meetings between these teams.
- Osasuna have not lost a competitive home game against Rayo Vallecano in over 20 years.
- Four of Rayo Vallecano’s last five trips to this stadium went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
Correct score prediction: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
With their 1-0 victory over Valencia in their previous home game, Osasuna extended their winning streak at home in La Liga to five games, stretching back to the previous season.
Alessio Lisci’s troops have not conceded a single goal in their last four competitive home games. They also won three of Rayo’s last four trips to this stadium, all by one-goal margins.
Although Rayo Vallecano have put in some impressive results in recent weeks, we are leaning toward Osasuna for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Osasuna are slightly favoured
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Osasuna are 13th in La Liga after earning three points from a possible nine in their first three games. They are up against fourth-placed Rayo Vallecano, who have a 1-1-1 win-draw-loss record.
Ahead of this encounter, Osasuna are the expected winners at 6/4 (2.50). Teams with these odds generally have a 40% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano predictions.
We have also pointed out that five consecutive clashes between these teams went above the 4.5-card threshold. For this reason, over 4.5 total cards has an appealing look at 21/20 (2.05). That one has a 48.8% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
In the last seven meetings between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, both teams have three wins apiece with a draw between them. Interestingly, while Rayo are unbeaten in their last three skirmishes with Osasuna, they have no wins in their last five trips to this stadium.
Spain La Liga 19/01/25
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 16/09/24
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 20/04/24
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 15/12/23
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 14/04/23
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Osasuna preview: Some injury concerns
Osasuna will have to do without Moi Gomez due to a muscular problem, while Iker Benito and Valentin Rosier are doubtful with fitness concerns. Abel Bretones will be back in the side after serving a red card suspension last time out at Espanyol.
Predicted lineup: Herrera (GK), Catena, Boyomo, Cruz, Rosier, Torro, Moncayola, Bretones, Oroz, Munoz & Budimir.
Last five matches
- Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Osasuna
- Espanyol 1-0 Osasuna
- Osasuna 1-0 Valencia
- Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
- Freiburg 2-2 Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano preview: No changes expected
Rayo Vallecano showcased resilience against Barcelona last time out, playing out a hard-fought 1-1 draw at home in a clash riddled with controversy.
The visitors have no injury problems except for Abdul Mumin, who misses out due to a knee problem. Coach Inigo Perez will most likely use the same starting XI from the stalemate with Barcelona.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Ratiu, Lejeune, Felipe, Chavarria, Ciss, Lopez, Palazon, Diaz, Garcia & De Frutos.
Last five matches
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
- Rayo Vallecano 4-0 Neman Grodno
- Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Neman Grodno 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
- Girona 1-3 Rayo Vallecano
Player to watch: Ante Budimir
Only two players scored more goals than Ante Budimir in the Spanish top flight last season. The former Mallorca forward has had a slow start this campaign, scoring only once in three appearances. It will be interesting to see how he performs against Rayo Vallecano this weekend.