atletico madrid vs osasuna prediction
Atleti won at Barcelona last time out in La Liga - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Atletico Madrid & over 2.5 total goals

Atletico Madrid have won their last 13 matches in all competitions.

Atletico Madrid are hoping to extend an impressive winning streak this Sunday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can regain top spot with three points.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction: Sorloth to strike last in home win

Key stats

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna betting tips take into account that four of the last five league matches involving Los Rojiblancos have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Only one of Osasuna’s six league wins this term has come away.
  • 56% of their league fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Osasuna

Atleti should be well rested after a decent break and on current form there is little reason to think they will slip up here.

The visitors always carry a goal threat with 10-goal Ante Budimir up top, but they’ve not been that convincing on the road, and this should end with a 14th straight win for Diego Simeone’s side.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the red hot favourites

  • HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
  • DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
  • AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna odds with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.

They were 1-0 winners last weekend at Marbella in the Copa del Rey, with Antoine Griezmann netting the only goal.

As for Osasuna, they head into this following a 2-1 win at Tenerife, with Jorge Herrando setting the visitors on their way to a cup win.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Osasuna aiming to repeat surprise 2024 win

Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction suggests we’ll get a very different outcome to the last meeting, which saw the Pamplona side record a shock 4-1 win on this ground in May.

Atleti had won all of the previous 11 meetings though, so they have a very strong overall record in this fixture.

Spain La Liga 19/05/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Spain La Liga 28/09/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 21/05/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain La Liga 29/01/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 19/02/22

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Atletico Madrid preview: Gimenez the only doubt

The only injury concern for Simeone is Jose Maria Gimenez. Robin Le Normand may return in central defence as a result.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Le Normand, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez

Spain La Liga 08/02/25

D

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Copa del Rey 04/02/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

5

Spain La Liga 01/02/25

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

FC Salzburg

FC Salzburg

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 25/01/25

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Osasuna preview: Zaragoza sidelined again

Winger Bryan Zaragoza misses out once more for Osasuna due to injury. Otherwise, they are at full strength for this game.

Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Cruz, Boyomo, Catena, Areso, Torro, Moncayola, Bretones, Oroz, R. Garcia & Budimir

Spain La Liga 10/02/25

D

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain Copa del Rey 06/02/25

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain La Liga 02/02/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Spain La Liga 24/01/25

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain La Liga 19/01/25

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Player to watch – Alexander Sorloth

While Griezmann and Julian Alvarez may be Simeone’s preferred front two, it’s back-up striker Alexander Sorloth who is actually their top scorer with eight goals in only 779 minutes of La Liga action this term.

atletico madrid vs osasuna predictions
Sorloth is scoring some key late goals – Photo by IMAGO.

Sorloth the super sub

Seven of the Norwegian’s eight goals in La Liga for Atleti so far have come after the break. He has struck three goals after the 90th minute, including the crucial winner at Barcelona last time out in the league.

spanish league predictions

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.