osasuna vs atletico madrid predictions
Osasuna are still in the hunt for European qualification - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Atletico Madrid to win

Atleti have won on all of their last six visits to El Sadar.

Atletico Madrid head to El Sadar on Thursday, fresh from scoring four in La Liga at the weekend. Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can back that up with another victory here.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sorloth to score in road win

Key stats

  • Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that the home team have only scored one goal in the last six meetings in Pamplona.
  • 82% of Osasuna home games this season have seen both teams score.
  • Atleti have only lost one away fixture this term against a team currently ranked in the top 12 of La Liga.

Correct score prediction: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone’s side are not really playing for anything now, but they put in a strong performance at the weekend which suggests they are not quite in holiday mode just yet.

Osasuna are still fighting for European football, but aside from a three-game winning streak against struggling teams last month, they’ve not shown nearly enough since a bright start to the season under Vicente Moreno, and they may fall just short again here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the visitors

  • HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.

They head into this game following a 4-0 victory over Real Sociedad. Alexander Sorloth scored all the goals which included the earliest hat-trick in La Liga history, with his first three strikes coming in just 11 minutes.

As for Osasuna, they picked up a decent point away to Real Betis on Sunday night.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided history

Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests the recent trend of this fixture will continue, with Los Rojiblancos capable of making it 13 wins from 14 meetings overall.

They’ve scored 17 across their last six trips to Pamplona, conceding only once.

Spain La Liga 12/01/25

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain La Liga 19/05/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Spain La Liga 28/09/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 21/05/23

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain La Liga 29/01/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Osasuna preview: Injury concerns for Moreno

The hosts are missing midfield Jon Moncayola to injury again, while they also have doubts over Ruben Garcia and Kike Barja.

Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Cruz, Boyomo, Catena, Areso, Torro, Ibanez, Bretones, Oroz, Ruben Garcia & Budimir

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

3

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

W

Girona

Girona

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Atletico Madrid preview: Visitors at full strength

The visitors can welcome back Julian Alvarez from suspension, and they are not expected to be missing anyone for this game.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Le Normand, Gimenez, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Sorloth

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

4

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Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.