Atletico Madrid head to El Sadar on Thursday, fresh from scoring four in La Liga at the weekend. Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can back that up with another victory here.
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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Sorloth to score in road win
Key stats
- Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that the home team have only scored one goal in the last six meetings in Pamplona.
- 82% of Osasuna home games this season have seen both teams score.
- Atleti have only lost one away fixture this term against a team currently ranked in the top 12 of La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone’s side are not really playing for anything now, but they put in a strong performance at the weekend which suggests they are not quite in holiday mode just yet.
Osasuna are still fighting for European football, but aside from a three-game winning streak against struggling teams last month, they’ve not shown nearly enough since a bright start to the season under Vicente Moreno, and they may fall just short again here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the visitors
- HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 4-0 victory over Real Sociedad. Alexander Sorloth scored all the goals which included the earliest hat-trick in La Liga history, with his first three strikes coming in just 11 minutes.
As for Osasuna, they picked up a decent point away to Real Betis on Sunday night.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided history
Our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests the recent trend of this fixture will continue, with Los Rojiblancos capable of making it 13 wins from 14 meetings overall.
They’ve scored 17 across their last six trips to Pamplona, conceding only once.
Spain La Liga 12/01/25
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 19/05/24
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 28/09/23
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 21/05/23
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Spain La Liga 29/01/23
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna preview: Injury concerns for Moreno
The hosts are missing midfield Jon Moncayola to injury again, while they also have doubts over Ruben Garcia and Kike Barja.
Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Cruz, Boyomo, Catena, Areso, Torro, Ibanez, Bretones, Oroz, Ruben Garcia & Budimir
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 D Real Betis 1 Osasuna 1 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 L Villarreal 4 Osasuna 2 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Osasuna 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Osasuna 3 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 W Girona 1 Osasuna 2
Atletico Madrid preview: Visitors at full strength
The visitors can welcome back Julian Alvarez from suspension, and they are not expected to be missing anyone for this game.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Le Normand, Gimenez, Llorente, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Sorloth
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
