Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction, odds & betting tips – 29/05/2024

Olympiacos and Fiorentina clash in the UEFA Europa Conference League final on Wednesday in Athens. Our Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction considers whether the Italians can make up for last season’s disappointment when they finished runners up in this competition.

olympiacos vs fiorentina predictions
Fiorentina saw off Brugge in the last round – Photo by Icon Sport

Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction: Score draw with El Kaabi on target

With an European trophy on the line, we expect a very exciting UECL final and we wouldn't be surprised if the match ends without a winner in regulation.

Key Stats

  • Our Olympiacos vs Fiorentina betting tips take into account that the Greek team’s matches in this competition from the last 16 onwards average 4.33 goals per game.
  • Jose Luis Mendilibar’s team have scored twice or more in nine of their last 12 fixtures in all competitions.
  • All of Fiorentina’s last eight games across domestic and European action have seen both teams score.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina favourites to lift the trophy

  • OLYMPIACOS: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • FIORENTINA: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Serie A outfit are the favourites according to the Olympiacos vs Fiorentina odds with an implied probability of 44.4% that they win this one without the need for Extra Time or penalties.

Olympiacos come into the game following a 2-2 derby draw against bitter rivals Panathinaikos the weekend before last with Daniel Podence and Stevan Jovetic on target. 

Fiorentina meanwhile were in Serie A action last week with a dramatic 3-2 win at Cagliari that was sealed by a penalty from Arthur Melo in the 103rd minute.

For more analysis and the latest picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best bets from this week’s football action.

H2H: Clubs set to meet for the first time

Our Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction points to a competitive affair as the clubs clash for the first time. The Greek giants have faced Italian opposition on 28 occasions previously in European football, winning only seven and losing 16.

Olympiacos Preview: No major issues for underdogs

With a ten day break before this one, Olympiacos should be fresh and good to go here with no major injury worries for Jose Luis Mendilibar.

Predicted Lineup: Tzolakis (GK), Rodinei, Retsos, Carmo, Ortega, Chiquinho, Iborra, Hezze, Podence, El Kaabi, Fortounis

UEFA Conference League 29/05/24

W

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

1

Greece Super League 1 19/05/24

D

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos

2

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

2

Greece Super League 1 15/05/24

W

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

0

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

2

Greece Super League 1 12/05/24

L

PAOK Salonika

PAOK Salonika

2

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

0

UEFA Conference League 09/05/24

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

2

Fiorentina Preview: Sottil to miss final

The Italians are missing Riccardo Sottil due to injury. M’Bala Nzola is fit again but may have to settle for a place on the bench.

Predicted Lineup: Terracciano (GK), Dodo, Martínez Quarta, Milenkovic, Biraghi, Bonaventura, Mandragora, Gonzalez, Beltran, Kouama, Belotti

Italy Serie A 02/06/24

W

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

UEFA Conference League 29/05/24

L

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 23/05/24

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 17/05/24

D

Napoli

Napoli

2

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 13/05/24

W

Monza

Monza

1

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

Player to watch – Ayoub El Kaabi

The star of this season’s Conference League so far has unquestionably been Olympiacos forward Ayoub El Kaabi. He scored an incredible five goals across the two legs against Aston Villa in the semi-finals to move onto 10 in the competition, more than any other player.

olympiacos vs fiorentina predictions 2024
Ayoub El Kaabi scored five of his team's six goals in the last four.

Moroccan capable of doing damage on the break

El Kaabi was a huge threat with his pace against Villa, managing to exploit the high line of Unai Emery’s side on numerous occasions. 70% of El Kaabi’s goals in the competition have been scored with his left foot, although he has also managed two headed goals.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.