Northern Ireland will be looking to end their World Cup qualifying campaign on a winning note when they welcome Luxembourg to Windsor Park this Monday night.
Can the hosts prevail in this clash, or will one of the smallest nations in the world pick up a rare win? Read our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction and preview to find out, but don't forget to also check out some of our other World Cup qualifying predictions.
Contents
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction: Hosts to impress
Key Stats
- Just one of Northern Ireland’s last 12 home matches saw both teams get on the scoresheet.
- During Northern Ireland’s three home matches in 2025, there has been exactly one first-half goal.
- Luxembourg haven’t bagged a goal before half-time in any of their last 12 matches away from home.
- Luxembourg have shipped nine of their 12 goals in this WCQ cycle after the interval.
Correct score prediction: Northern Ireland 2-1 Luxembourg
Northern Ireland have an opportunity to end their qualifying campaign with nine points to their name – not a bad total considering they had to complete with Germany and Slovakia in their group.
The hosts have a lot more quality in their squad than Luxembourg and they will be expected to get the job done. While the visitors could prove tricky, Windsor Park should be celebrating a home win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts backed to win
- HOME: 9/25 (1.36) – 73.50%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.80%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.80%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg odds that the bookies expect a win for the home team.
Nevertheless, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Northern Ireland
When it comes to the head-to-head record, Northern Ireland are the ones who have the advantage. The hosts have won this fixture four out of the last five times, and have not tasted defeat since 2013.
The two teams last met in October, with Northern Ireland running out 3-1 winners away from home.
UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24
Luxembourg
Northern Ireland
UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
International Match 25/03/22
Luxembourg
Northern Ireland
International Match 05/09/19
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
Northern Ireland preview: Double suspension blow
Northern Ireland are missing Sunderland's Dan Ballard due to a suspension, as well as George Saville who reached the yellow card limit.
Paddy McNair and Ruairi McConville are set to feature in the back three, while Liverpool's Conor Bradley should continue in midfield for the hosts.
Predicted lineup: Peacock-Farrell (GK), McConville, Brown, McNair, Hume, Bradley, Kelly, Devenny, Lyons, Charles & Price
Last five matches
- Slovakia 1-0 Northern Ireland (WCQ)
- Northern Ireland 0-1 Germany (WCQ)
- Northern Ireland 2-0 Slovakia (WCQ)
- Germany 3-1 Northern Ireland (WCQ)
- Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland (WCQ)
Luxembourg preview: Looking for third league win
Danel Sinani is the leading goalscorer in the squad, and the attacker will be looking to extend his current tally of 14.
Olivier Thill impressed in the defeat to Germany last time out, and he is expected to keep his place in the team. Defender Florian Bohnert, on the other hand, will serve a suspension.
Predicted lineup: Moris (GK), Jans, Korac, Carlson, Veiga, O Thill, Martins, Olesen, Barreiro, Sinani & Dardari
Last five matches
- Luxembourg 0-2 Germany (WCQ)
- Slovakia 2-0 Germany (WCQ)
- Germany 4-0 Luxembourg (WCQ)
- Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia (WCQ)
- Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland (WCQ)
Player to watch: Ethan Galbraith
Ethan Galbraith got an assist in Northern Ireland’s last outing at Windsor Park – the player will be looking to impress once again in front of his home supporters.
Galbraith is expected to mark his return from a suspension, having spent time on the sidelines due to an accumulation of yellow cards.