The Allianz Riviera sets the stage on August 24, 2025, as Nice welcome Auxerre for a Ligue 1 contest that already carries the weight of intrigue.
Both sides come into this fixture seeking early-season definition: Nice, stung by two defeats in their last four league outings, and Auxerre, who themselves have dropped three of their most recent six. The margins feel slim, but the potential for drama is high.
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Nice vs Auxerre prediction: Visitors look to spring a surprise at the Riviera
Key stats
- Nice have drawn 4 of their last 6 meetings with Auxerre.
- In their last 18 Ligue 1 home matches, Nice have avoided defeat 15 times.
- Auxerre have beaten Nice just twice in their last 12 Ligue 1 visits.
- Auxerre have scored in 11 consecutive league games.
Correct score prediction: Nice 1-2 Auxerre
On paper, Nice are favourites at home, but the numbers whisper otherwise. Auxerre have quietly pieced together a run that shows their ability to trouble established sides. Their knack for scoring, 11 consecutive Ligue 1 matches with at least one goal, makes them a persistent threat.
While Nice have been steady on home turf, Auxerre’s resilience hints at a game that could swing late in the visitors’ favour. A 2-1 away win feels like the bold but justified call. Franck Haise and Christophe Pelissier are both pragmatic coaches, often inclined towards control over chaos.
Yet when styles collide here, expect cracks to open. Auxerre’s sharp edge in front of goal, married with Nice’s tendency to concede, suggests a lively clash rather than a cagey stalemate.
Pre-game odds and win probability
- HOME WIN: 1.40 (71.43%)
- DRAW: 5.00 (20.00%)
- AWAY WIN: 7.50 (13.33%)
Odds via Ladbrokes, subject to change. The bookmakers lean firmly towards Nice, painting them as heavy favourites. Yet for punters with an appetite for risk, Auxerre’s longer odds carry intrigue. This is not a fixture likely to be decided by a rout, but by a narrow tilt of fortune.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: A balanced rivalry
The most recent clash between these two sides, in March at the Riviera, ended 1-1. Nice largely dictated the play with 21 shots to Auxerre’s 10 and enjoyed 51% possession. Evann Guessand struck first for the hosts before Florian Aye salvaged a point in stoppage time for Auxerre. The numbers underline the balance: both sides finished with five shots on target, while Nice produced 55 “dangerous attacks” to Auxerre’s 34.
Previous contests have been similarly tight, often separated by fine margins. Across their last 10 meetings, the pendulum has rarely swung decisively in either direction.
France Ligue 1 14/03/25
Nice
Auxerre
France Ligue 1 18/08/24
Auxerre
Nice
France Cup 06/01/24
Nice
Auxerre
France Ligue 1 03/03/23
Nice
Auxerre
France Ligue 1 16/10/22
Auxerre
Nice
OGC Nice Preview: Seeking consistency
Nice’s home form tells the tale of a side that flirts with dominance but rarely imposes it outright. Across their last 20 home games in all competitions, they’ve claimed victory in half, scoring at a clip of 1.65 goals per match while conceding just over one. At the Riviera in Ligue 1, that win ratio and goal return creep slightly higher, evidence of a side that can hurt opponents on their day.
The squad, however, is in flux. The departures of Jean-Clair Todibo and Marcin Bułka sting, while injuries to Mohamed Abdelmonem, Tanguy Ndombele, and Youssouf Ndayishimiye further weaken Franck Haise’s hand. A 3-4-2-1 setup looks likely, with reliance on creativity from the flanks and Terem Moffi’s power up top.
Predicted lineup: Diouf (GK), Mendy, Bah, Oppong, Clauss, Bard, Boudaoui, Louchet, Bouanani, Jansson & Moffi
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
L
Rennes
2
Nice
0
France Ligue 1 02/05/25
W
Reims
0
Nice
1
France Ligue 1 25/04/25
W
PSG
1
Nice
3
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Angers
1
Nice
2
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
D
Strasbourg
2
Nice
2
Auxerre Preview: Fragile away, but dangerous
Auxerre’s biggest handicap is their away form: five defeats from their last 10 on the road, with 53% of those losses coming from defensive frailties. Yet they remain dangerous going forward, averaging 1.53 goals per away game. Pelissier’s men have also managed three wins in their last six away fixtures, showing a capacity to snatch results despite vulnerabilities.
Their squad depth will be tested. Defensive absences abound, with Gabriel Osho and Ado Onaiwu suspended, Clement Akpa sidelined by a calf injury, and Nathan Buayi-Kiala ruled out long-term. Expect a 5-4-1 formation, designed for resilience and sharp counters.
Predicted lineup: Leon (GK), Senaya, Sierralta, Joly, Diomande, Casimir, Owusu, Danois, Osman & Sinayoko
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
D
Nantes
1
Auxerre
1
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
L
Le Havre
2
Auxerre
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Lens
0
Auxerre
4
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
L
Lille
3
Auxerre
1
France Ligue 1 13/04/25
L
Lyon
3
Auxerre
1
Player to watch – Terem Moffi
For Nice, all eyes will be on Nigerian striker Terem Moffi. His blend of strength, aerial power, and direct running has often been the difference-maker at the Riviera. With the squad stretched, Moffi’s ability to conjure goals out of little will be pivotal if Nice are to protect their home record against an Auxerre side primed to test their back line.