Newcastle continue their push for Champions League qualification on Sunday when they make the tricky trip to the south coast to face mid-table Brighton.
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Brighton vs Newcastle prediction: Goals expected at the AmEx
Key Stats
- 71% of Brighton's home games have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 59% of Newcastle's away games.
- Alexander Iask has scored 22 Premier League goals so far this season, netting three in his last six outings.
Correct score prediction: Brighton 2-2 Newcastle
With Brighton scoring an average of 1.53 goals per home game in the Premier League this season and scoring an average of 1.59 goals per away game, we're backing Sunday's clash between the pair to end on a 2-2 draw.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brighton the slight favourite
- HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 43.5% but we are predicting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: The Seagulls lead
Brighton have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches against Newcastle, claiming a 2-1 extra-time win in March's FA Cup tie.
England FA Cup 02/03/25
Newcastle
Brighton
England Premier League 19/10/24
Newcastle
Brighton
England Premier League 11/05/24
Newcastle
Brighton
England Premier League 02/09/23
Brighton
Newcastle
Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/23
Brighton
Newcastle
Brighton preview: Edged a five-goal thriller
Brighton took the lead early on at home to West Ham, thanks to Yasin Ayari's first goal for the club. However, West Ham looked to have done enough to win the game after they equalised in the 48th minute and moved 2-1 in front in the 83rd, only for Karou Mitoma to get the Seagulls back onto level terms in the 89th minute and Carlos Baleba to win the game for Brighton in stoppage time.
The 34-year-old Danny Welbeck has nine Premier League goals and 13 Premier League goal involvements (9 goals, 4 assists) this season, both his joint-highest ever tallies in a single campaign in the competition.
Ferdi Kadioglu, Georginio Rutter, James Milner, Jason Steele, Adam Webster, Igor Julio and Jan Paul van Hecke could all miss out on Sunday due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Dunk, Estupinan, Minteh, Gruda, Wieffer, Ayari, Hinshelwood, Baleba, Welbeck & Mitoma
England Premier League 10/05/25
W
Wolverhampton
0
Brighton
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Newcastle
1
Brighton
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
West Ham
2
Brighton
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Brentford
4
Brighton
2
England Premier League 12/04/25
D
Leicester
2
Brighton
2
Newcastle preview: An easy three points
Newcastle entertained Ipswich last time out and took the lead in first-half stoppage time through their top scorer Alexander Isak who has now scored 16 goals in his 15 Premier League appearances against promoted sides.
Dan Burn and substitute William Osula scored second-half goals to wrap up a comfortable 3-0 victory for the Magpies who could be without the services of Lewis Hall, Matt Targett, Jamaal Lascelles and Joelinton for the trip to the AmEx this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Pope (GK), Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Gordon, Willock, Guimaraes, Barnes, Tonali & Isak
England Premier League 11/05/25
W
Chelsea
0
Newcastle
2
England Premier League 04/05/25
D
Brighton
1
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 26/04/25
W
Ipswich
0
Newcastle
3
England Premier League 19/04/25
L
Aston Villa
4
Newcastle
1
England Premier League 16/04/25
W
Crystal Palace
0
Newcastle
5
Player to watch: Alexander Isak
Isak is having the best season of his career and only looks to be getting better and better under the guidance of Eddie Howe.
The Swedish international scored his 22nd Premier League goal of the season last weekend against Ipswich, putting him one clear of last season's total of 21.
Newcastle's Swedish star has 28 goal involvements in the PL this season
We're backing Isak to put in another excellent display for the Magpies this weekend against Brighton in what should prove to be an exciting, end-to-end 90 minutes on the south coast.