Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips 30/01/2024

Aston Villa
30/01/24 - 20:15

Finished

1

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Newcastle

Aston Villa - Newcastle

England Premier League - Villa Park

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for the big game on Tuesday night between Aston Villa and Newcastle. Aston Villa are challenging for the title as things stand and a win against New3castle on Tuesday would provide even more evidence that Unai Emerey's men have what it takes to challenge Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal this season.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Draw

  • Newcastle have avoided defeat in five of their last seven competitive and non-competitive meetings with Aston Villa.
  • Three of Aston Villa's last six matches have ended in stalemates.

Another reason that we have a draw as our main prediction is that Newcastle have only managed to win two of their last six matches in all competitions.

Latest odds

Head to Head

30/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

0

12/08/23

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

5

1

24/07/23

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Newcastle

Newcastle

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

3

15/04/23

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

0

29/10/22

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

0

Last Five - Aston Villa

02/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

3

W

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

4

W

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

2

W

11/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

1

L

07/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

1

L

Last Five - Newcastle

02/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

3

W

27/02/24

England FA Cup FA Cup

Blackburn

Blackburn

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (3)

1 (4)

W

24/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

1

L

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

2

D

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

3

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%

Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, but we are expecting this game to be close. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Ollie Watkins is the obvious choice to score on Tuesday night at 6/4 (2.50) which has a probability of 40%, while Callum Wilson is priced at 15/8 (2.88) with a probability of 34.8%.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 2-2

  • These two sides played out a 3-3 draw in the Premier League Summer Series back in July.
  • Villa have scored and conceded two or more goals in two of their last three league games.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Each of the last four meetings between these two clubs have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Four of Newcastle's last six outings in league and cup have produced over 2.5 goals.

aston villa vs newcastle

Aston Villa vs Newcastle team news

Aston Villa

Aston Villa gave it their best shot at Goodison Park last time out but had to settle for a share of the spoils in the end. Both teams created chances to score and had a goal disallowed during the ninety minute but the game ended goalless and it was probably a fair result on the balance of play. Ollie Watkins will be hoping to get back amongst the goals in Villa's next game if he wants to challenge for the Golden Boot award.

Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jhon Duran, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne and Jacob Ramsey could all miss out on Tuesday through injury, while Bertrand Traore is at AFCON 2023.

Predicted Lineup: Martínez (GK), Lenglet, Moreno, Carlos, Konsa, McGinn, Bailey, Kamara, Luiz, Watkins & Diaby

Newcastle

Newcastle suffered an injury-time defeat at home to Manchester City in their last league game. Pep Guardiola's men took the lead in the twenty-sixth minute but goals from Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon handed Newcastle a 2-1 lead at the interval. The introduction of Kevin De Druyne dramatically changed this game as the Belgian returned from injury to score an equaliser and set up the winning goal for Man City in a second half the visitors controlled.

Joelinton, Nick Pope, Joseph Willock, Elliot Anderson, Harvey Barnes, Matt Targett, Callum Wilson, Jacob Murphy and Miguel Almiron all look set to miss the trip to Villa Park via injury or illness.

Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Trippier, Schär, Burn, Botman, Murphy, Guimarães, Longstaff, Miley, Isak & Gordon 

Aston Villa

Aston Villa
4-4-2
1
Emiliano Martinez
ar
2
Matty Cash
pl
4
Ezri Konsa
gb
17
Clement Lenglet
fr
15
Alex Moreno
es
7
John McGinn
gb
44
Boubacar Kamara
fr
6
Douglas Luiz
br
8
Youri Tielemans
be
19
Moussa Diaby
fr
11
Ollie Watkins
gb
Substitutes
22
Nicolo Zaniolo
it
41
Jacob Ramsey
gb
29
Kaine Kesler Hayden
gb
47
Tim Iroegbunam
gb
64
James Wright
gb
31
Leon Bailey
jm
25
Robin Olsen
se
3
Diego Carlos
br
16
Calum Chambers
gb

Newcastle

Newcastle
4-3-3
1
Martin Dubravka
sk
2
Kieran Trippier
gb
5
Fabian Schar
ch
4
Sven Botman
nl
33
Dan Burn
gb
67
Lewis Miley
gb
39
Bruno Guimaraes
br
36
Sean Longstaff
gb
23
Jacob Murphy
gb
14
Alexander Isak
se
10
Anthony Gordon
gb
Substitutes
24
Miguel Almiron
py
90
Travis Hernes
no
20
Lewis Hall
gb
40
Joe White
gb
3
Paul Dummett
gb
11
Matt Ritchie
gb
18
Loris Karius
de
21
Valentino Livramento
gb
17
Emil Krafth
se

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa's top goalscorer and main creator or goals, Ollie Watkins will lead the line against Newcastle on Tuesday night and we're expecting another top performance from the England international.

Watkins has netted nine goals in the league alone and has chipped in with a truly impressive eight assists for his teammates, making him a vital part of Unai Emery's, currently, title-challenging side. A draw wouldn't be a bad result on Tuesday night given the opposition but Watkins could lead his team to glory if he has one of his better games in front of goal.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.