Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/01/2026
Newcastle are bookies' favourites. Photo by IMAGO/ Pro Sports Images
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Over 3.5 total goals

Four of the last six H2Hs have seen four or more goals scored.

A potentially blockbuster clash awaits in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon as Newcastle welcome Aston Villa to St. James' Park. Both teams enjoyed important wins in Europe in midweek, with Newcastle in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) and Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League (UEL).

The Magpies beat PSV 3-0 on home soil to climb into the top eight of the league phase table heading into the final matchday next week, while the Villans beat Fenerbahce 1-0 away from home to assure a place in the knockout stage of the UEL. Now, attention turns back to domestic action as Newcastle aim to break into the European places, while Villa will be hoping to keep up the pace in the title race.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction: Both sides to battle for stalemate?

Key stats

  • Newcastle have lost just once at home in all competitions since September.
  • Villa have also lost just once in five games across all competitions.
  • Villa have not won at SJP since 2005.

Correct score prediction: Newcastle 2-2 Aston Villa

Given that both teams are known for their attacking quality, we can see plenty of goals being scored in this one. Newcastle should avoid defeat given Villa's poor record at SJP, but the visitors are still pushing for the league title, which could give them the extra edge needed to take a point.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Newcastle have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. Interestingly, a draw and a Villa win are separated by just 1.1%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Newcastle so strong at SJP

As mentioned before, Newcastle are unbeaten against Villa at SJP in all competitions since 2005. The Magpies are also unbeaten in the previous six meetings in general, winning four of them.

England Premier League 16/08/25

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 19/04/25

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4
Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 26/12/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 30/01/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

3

England Premier League 12/08/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

5
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Newcastle preview: Decision to be made on Bruno

A decision will need to be made on whether Bruno Guimaraes is fit enough to be included in the Newcastle squad. Dan Burn has also trained and also could make a return.

Predicted lineup: Pope (GK); Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Ramsey, Tonali, Joelinton; Barnes, Woltemade & Gordon

Last five results:

  • Newcastle 3-0 PSV
  • Wolves 0-0 Newcastle
  • Newcastle 0-2 Manchester City
  • Newcastle 4-3 Bournemouth
  • Newcastle 4-3 Leeds

Aston Villa preview: Questions over Martinez

It is not clear whether Emi Martinez has recovered from injury yet, nor new signing Alysson. Leon Bailey should be involved in some capacity though after returning from his loan spell at Roma.

Predicted lineup: Bizot (GK); Cash, Konsa, Lindelof, Maatsen; Bogarde, Tielemans; Sancho, Rogers, Buendia & Watkins

Last five results:

  • Fenerbahce 0-1 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 0-1 Everton
  • Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa
  • Crystal Palace 0-0 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest

Player to watch: Anthony Gordon

Anthony Gordon should start for Newcastle. Photo by Imago/ Sportsphoto

Anthony Gordon scored his sixth UCL goal against PSV in midweek, but has not netted in the Premier League in open play for a year. The Englishman needs to break his duck soon, and that could come against Villa where he should be given the space to thrive.

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Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.